Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MARCUS-18 in Australia from 15 Mar 2018 18:00 UTC to 24 Mar 2018 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARCUS-18

in Australia

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARCUS-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (25 Mar 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 140000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	15 Mar 2018 18:00	148	130 thousand	No people	Australia
2	16 Mar 2018 00:00	157	140 thousand	No people	Australia
3	16 Mar 2018 06:00	185	140 thousand	No people	Australia
4	16 Mar 2018 12:00	185	130 thousand	No people	Australia
5	16 Mar 2018 18:00	222	130 thousand	No people	Australia
6	17 Mar 2018 00:00	231	140 thousand	No people	Australia
7	17 Mar 2018 06:00	231	140 thousand	No people	Australia
8	17 Mar 2018 12:00	231	140 thousand	No people	Australia
9	17 Mar 2018 18:00	222	140 thousand	No people	Australia
10	18 Mar 2018 00:00	222	140 thousand	No people	Australia
11	18 Mar 2018 06:00	222	140 thousand	No people	Australia
12	18 Mar 2018 12:00	231	140 thousand	No people	Australia
13	18 Mar 2018 18:00	241	140 thousand	No people	Australia
14	19 Mar 2018 00:00	241	140 thousand	No people	Australia
15	19 Mar 2018 06:00	241	140 thousand	No people	Australia
16	19 Mar 2018 12:00	241	140 thousand	No people	Australia
17	19 Mar 2018 18:00	259	180 thousand	No people	Australia
18	20 Mar 2018 00:00	259	140 thousand	No people	Australia
19	20 Mar 2018 06:00	250	140 thousand	No people	Australia
20	20 Mar 2018 12:00	241	140 thousand	No people	Australia
21	20 Mar 2018 18:00	241	140 thousand	No people	Australia
22	21 Mar 2018 00:00	241	140 thousand	No people	Australia
23	21 Mar 2018 06:00	250	140 thousand	No people	Australia
24	21 Mar 2018 12:00	259	140 thousand	No people	Australia
25	21 Mar 2018 18:00	259	140 thousand	No people	Australia
26	22 Mar 2018 00:00	259	2 million	No people	Australia
28	22 Mar 2018 12:00	231	140 thousand	No people	Australia
29	22 Mar 2018 18:00	222	140 thousand	No people	Australia
30	23 Mar 2018 00:00	194	140 thousand	No people	Australia
31	23 Mar 2018 06:00	176	140 thousand	No people	Australia
32	23 Mar 2018 12:00	148	140 thousand	No people	Australia
33	23 Mar 2018 18:00	111	140 thousand	No people	Australia
34	24 Mar 2018 00:00	102	140 thousand	No people	Australia
35	24 Mar 2018 06:00	65	140 thousand	No people	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-10, 132.1	Australia
2	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-10.6, 132.6	Australia
3	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-11.1, 131.9	Australia
4	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-11.4, 131.4	Australia
5	16 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-11.7, 131.6	Australia
6	17 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-12.4, 131.1	Australia
7	17 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-13, 130	Australia
8	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-13.5, 129.3	Australia
9	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-13.9, 128.6	Australia
10	18 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-14.2, 127.8	Australia
11	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-14.6, 126.7	Australia
12	18 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-15, 125.3	Australia
13	18 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15, 124.3	Australia
14	19 Mar 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-15, 123.4	Australia
15	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	-15.5, 122.6	Australia
16	19 Mar 2018 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-15.6, 121.2	Australia
17	19 Mar 2018 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	-15.3, 119.9
18	20 Mar 2018 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	-15.1, 118.4
19	20 Mar 2018 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	-14.8, 116.7
20	20 Mar 2018 12:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-14.5, 115.2
21	20 Mar 2018 18:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	-14.6, 113.8
22	21 Mar 2018 00:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	-14.5, 112.3
23	21 Mar 2018 06:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-14.8, 110.9
24	21 Mar 2018 12:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	-15.1, 109.4
25	21 Mar 2018 18:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	-15.5, 108.4
26	22 Mar 2018 00:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	-15.9, 107.4
28	22 Mar 2018 12:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-17.6, 106.3
29	22 Mar 2018 18:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	-18.8, 106
30	23 Mar 2018 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	-19.9, 105.9
31	23 Mar 2018 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-21.2, 105.8
32	23 Mar 2018 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-22.3, 106
33	23 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-23.7, 106.6
34	24 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-25.3, 107.3
35	24 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-26.9, 107.6
35	24 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-29, 108.2

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Western Australia	Australia
Northern Territory	Australia

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Darwin	Northern Territory	Australia	Major city	92000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Mitchell Plateau	MIH	unknown				0
Mungalalu Truscott		53	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3000
Kalumburu	UBU	29	Priv.	Unpaved	No	4200
Troughton Island		8	Mil.	Unpaved	Yes	3000
Port Keats	PKT	28	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4600
Peppimenarti	PEP	unknown				0
Darwin International	DRW	31	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000
Bathurst Island	BRT	16	Civ.	Paved	No	4800
Snake Bay	SNB	52	Civ.	Paved	No	4700
Croker Island	CKI	16	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4700
Minjilang		25	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3500

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Beagle Bay		Coral Sea Islands
Cape Leveque		Coral Sea Islands
Yampi Sound		Coral Sea Islands
Yampi	AUYAM	Coral Sea Islands
Kalumburu		Coral Sea Islands
Cape Londonderry		Coral Sea Islands
Darwin	AUDRW	Coral Sea Islands
Croker Island		Coral Sea Islands

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Darwin River Dam	Darwin	1972
	Manton Dam	Manton	1942

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Tamala, Australia. This height is estimated for 25 Mar 2018 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (129 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 22 Mar 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Mar 2018 05:00	Tamala	Australia	0.9
	25 Mar 2018 05:00	Useless Loop	Australia	0.8
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Denham	Australia	0.8
	25 Mar 2018 04:00	Nanga	Australia	0.6
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.6
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Darwin	Australia	0.6
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.6
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Parap	Australia	0.6
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.6
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Bagot	Australia	0.5
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 04:00	Minjilang	Australia	0.5
	25 Mar 2018 03:00	Shark Bay	Australia	0.4
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.4
	19 Mar 2018 16:00	Derby	Australia	0.4
	24 Mar 2018 22:00	Dirk Hartog	Australia	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 19:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 22:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 04:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 01:00	Karumba	Australia	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.3
	25 Mar 2018 11:00	Horrocks	Australia	0.3
	25 Mar 2018 11:00	Gregory	Australia	0.3
	25 Mar 2018 11:00	Lynton	Australia	0.3
	25 Mar 2018 09:00	Kalbarri	Australia	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Mar 2018 10:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	19 Mar 2018 17:00	Pender	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Sajengga	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 04:00	Gove	Australia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 04:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 04:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 01:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 01:00	Badu	Australia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 01:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2018 18:00	Wickham	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2018 18:00	Point Samson	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2018 18:00	Cossack	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 23:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 21:00	Carnarvon	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Naoer	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Mar 2018 10:00	Mardie	Australia	0.2
	21 Mar 2018 09:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Moegoetira	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 11:00	Geraldton	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 11:00	Drummond Cove	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 11:00	Popes Landing	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 11:00	Waggrakine	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 16:00	Illawong	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 15:00	Denison	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 15:00	Port Denison	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 15:00	Dongara	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Kinara	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Aoem	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Mar 2018 08:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 10:00	Learmonth	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Sanindara	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 16:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 16:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Tanam	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Kamboeriami	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 10:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2018 08:00	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2018 08:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2018 17:00	Broome	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2018 19:00	Condon	Australia	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Tambani	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 12:00	Exmouth	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 18:00	Quobba	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 15:00	Greenough	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 16:00	Coolimba	Australia	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Agatebi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Sakaoeni	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 07:00	Carrarang	Australia	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Kaisweri	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 18:00	Cape Cuvier	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 17:00	Green Head	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 17:00	Leeman	Australia	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Sege	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Gunyulgup	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Yallingup	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Dunsborough	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Quindalup	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Vasse	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Broadwater	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Busselton	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Wonnerup	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Ludlow	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Falcon	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Safety Bay	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Mandurah	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Warnbro	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Peelhurst	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Singleton	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 01:00	Karnup	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.