Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19 in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands from 09 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC to 13 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19

in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2019-000021-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Exposed population	1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.8 m (14 Mar 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	1.8 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	194 km/h	1.8 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.9 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Mar 2019 06:00	213	6.6 million	870 thousand	Mozambique
2	09 Mar 2019 12:00	213	5.6 million	550 thousand	Mozambique
3	09 Mar 2019 18:00	204	2.9 million	250 thousand	Mozambique
4	10 Mar 2019 00:00	204	4.3 million	340 thousand	Mozambique
5	10 Mar 2019 06:00	213	4.1 million	1.3 million	Mozambique
6	10 Mar 2019 12:00	213	4.7 million	1.1 million	Mozambique
7	10 Mar 2019 18:00	222	5.2 million	440 thousand	Mozambique
8	11 Mar 2019 00:00	213	3 million	660 thousand	Mozambique
9	11 Mar 2019 06:00	213	8.1 million	580 thousand	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
10	11 Mar 2019 12:00	194	5.3 million	1.1 million	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
11	11 Mar 2019 18:00	194	5.9 million	960 thousand	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
12	12 Mar 2019 00:00	213	6.9 million	1.9 million	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
13	12 Mar 2019 06:00	185	6 million	1.3 million	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
14	12 Mar 2019 12:00	194	5.8 million	1.1 million	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
15	12 Mar 2019 18:00	222	6 million	2 million	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
16	13 Mar 2019 00:00	185	5.9 million	2 million	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
17	13 Mar 2019 06:00	185	5.1 million	1.5 million	Mozambique, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
18	13 Mar 2019 12:00	120	6.3 million	1.9 million	Mozambique, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Zimbabwe

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	09 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	110000 people	-17, 40.2	Mozambique
2	09 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-17, 41.3	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
3	09 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1200 people	-16.9, 42	Madagascar
4	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	100000 people	-17.2, 42.4	Madagascar
5	10 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	69000 people	-17.4, 42.6	Madagascar
6	10 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	220000 people	-17.2, 43	Madagascar
7	10 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	310000 people	-17.2, 43.2	Madagascar
8	11 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	200000 people	-17.3, 43.2	Madagascar
9	11 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	180000 people	-17.3, 43	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
10	11 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	100000 people	-17.6, 42.6	Madagascar
11	11 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	120000 people	-17.7, 42.5	Madagascar
12	12 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	49000 people	-18, 42.2	Madagascar
13	12 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-18.3, 41.9	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
14	12 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-18.7, 41.3
15	12 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	-19.1, 40.7
16	13 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-19.3, 40.2
17	13 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-19.4, 39.5
18	13 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	210000 people	-19.5, 39	Mozambique
18	14 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	2.3 million people	-19.6, 37.7	Mozambique
18	14 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	157	970000 people	4.2 million people	-19.6, 36.2	Mozambique
18	15 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	1.9 million people	4.6 million people	-19.4, 34.6	Mozambique
18	15 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	3.1 million people	-18.9, 33.2	Mozambique
18	16 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-18, 32.4	Mozambique

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
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