Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2021-000056-IND
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (19 May 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)
Landfall	between 19 May 2021 00:00 - 20 May 2021 00:00 in Pakistan

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	167 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	222 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	204	44.6 million	4.1 million	India, Pakistan
2	14 May 2021 12:00	204	54.3 million	4.9 million	India, Pakistan
3	14 May 2021 18:00	204	35.5 million	3.7 million	India, Pakistan
4	15 May 2021 00:00	167	43.5 million	1.4 million	India, Pakistan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11.8 million people	11.6, 72.1
2	14 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.5 million people	11.9, 72.2
3	14 May 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	1.7 million people	12.1, 72.3
4	15 May 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.5 million people	12.6, 72.4
4	15 May 2021 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	2.1 million people	14.1, 72.2
4	16 May 2021 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	570000 people	15.2, 71.6
4	16 May 2021 12:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	16.5, 70.7
4	17 May 2021 00:00	Category 2	176	no people	2.1 million people	17.8, 69.5
4	18 May 2021 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	4.8 million people	20.2, 67.9
4	19 May 2021 00:00	Category 2	167	1.4 million people	39.5 million people	22.6, 67.5
4	20 May 2021 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	24.9, 68.5	Pakistan

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Pakistan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Gujarat	India
Sind	Pakistan

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Talhar	BDN	15				0
Khorewah		5				0

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Suthri, India. This height is estimated for 19 May 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (215 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 15 May 2021 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 May 2021 00:00	Suthri	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 08:00	Shil	India	0.7
	19 May 2021 00:00	Mandvi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Asarsa	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 14:00	Wadgam	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 16:00	Tankari	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 14:00	Muler	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 14:00	Kambhat	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 23:00	Dwarka	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 15:00	Miyani	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 14:00	Kavi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Harinagar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 14:00	Sarod	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Mahuva	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 21:00	Ghogha	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 19:00	Lamba	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 20:00	Madhi	India	0.5
	19 May 2021 00:00	Mundra	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 15:00	Adodar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 15:00	Porbandar	India	0.5
	19 May 2021 00:00	Okha	India	0.5
	19 May 2021 00:00	Aramda	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Dahej	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 17:00	Jafarabad	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 17:00	Rohisa	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 19:00	Kotada	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:00	Delvada	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:00	Nawabandar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 17:00	Dharabandar	India	0.5
	19 May 2021 00:00	Gadechi	India	0.5
	19 May 2021 00:00	Bhadia	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 21:00	Olpad	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 19:00	Sutrapada	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 19:00	Lodhwa	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Somnath	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 22:00	Veraval	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 20:00	Surat	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 23:00	Jalalpur	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 23:00	Mahuver	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Ammapatam	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 20:00	Damka	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 00:00	Navinal	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 00:00	Tuna	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 22:00	Chorwad	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 08:00	Mangrol	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 20:00	Bhogat	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 13:00	Ratia	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 21:00	Bhagva	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 00:00	Sika	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Kodinar	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 13:00	Gorser	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 14:00	Bhatkal	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 19:00	Payyoli	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 19:00	Quilandi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 00:00	Navlakhi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Daman	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Udvada	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 00:00	Chudeswar	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:00	Belekeri	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Edakkad	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Dharmadam	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Tellicherry	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Mahe	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 00:00	Salaya	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 03:00	Marmagao	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 03:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Umbargam	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Maroli	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 00:00	Jambura	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Tarapur	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Gholvad	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Chirakkal	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Valapattanam	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Azhikkal	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Cannanore	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 00:00	Jhankhar	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 18:00	Alleppey	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Palghar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Mahim	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Malyan	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 15:00	Dongri	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 15:00	Vasai	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 03:00	Agacaim	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Boisar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 15:00	Mumbai	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 15:00	Trombay	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Ankola	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 16:00	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 16:00	Agashi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 22:00	Bankot	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 22:00	Kelshi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Gokarn	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kumta	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 15:00	Malad	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 15:00	Uran	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 04:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 18:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 18:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 10:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:00	Shirali	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:00	Turavur	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 21:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:00	Mattancheri	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 12:00	Tondi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Pural	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 07:00	Vengurla	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Terekhol	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Chopdem	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Karwar	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:00	Ambalapulai	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 21:00	Navghar	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 10:00	Achra	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Advota	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Majali	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Manki	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:00	Bainduru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 15:00	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Kankesanturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Idaikkadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	16 May 2021 17:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 15:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 15:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 15:00	Purnagad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 15:00	Mandve	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Cochin	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Point Pedro	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Karaikal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Accarapatam	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 11:00	Murud	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 18:00	Boria	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 15:00	Purangad	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 11:00	Alibag	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 11:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 11:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Talikkulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Nagappattinam	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 10:00	Malvan	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Chaughat	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Ponnani	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Veliyangod	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kayankulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Badagara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Haripad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Irumeni	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Manattala	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Chavakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Guruvayur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Vembar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Quilon	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Melmandai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Periathullay	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:00	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Varkkallai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Anjengo	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Thiruvananthapuram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Vilinjam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Puvar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Taingapatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kadiapattanam	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.