Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
18 May 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Afghanistan, China, Pakistan, India, Maldives
Exposed population 780 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.7 m (18 May 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 3.7 m 920 mm 1.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 3.7 m 920 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 780 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India780,695 
Tropical StormIran, Afghanistan, China, Pakistan, India, Maldives60,592,692
+
Iran12,638 
Afghanistan257,792 
China9,821 
Pakistan1,019,854 
India59,272,597 
Maldives19,988 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 May 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, India
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
GREEN 3 14 May 2021 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 15 May 2021 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, India
GREEN 5 15 May 2021 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
GREEN 6 15 May 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Pakistan
GREEN 7 15 May 2021 18:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 8 16 May 2021 00:00 140 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 9 16 May 2021 06:00 151 Few people
- - - - India
GREEN 10 16 May 2021 12:00 155 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 11 16 May 2021 18:00 169 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 12 17 May 2021 00:00 176 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 13 17 May 2021 06:00 169 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 14 17 May 2021 12:00 158 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 15 17 May 2021 18:00 148 80 thousand
- - - - India
ORANGE 16 18 May 2021 00:00 130 350 thousand
- - - - India
GREEN 17 18 May 2021 06:00 115 -
- - - - - China, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia28,816,317 
100-250 mmIndia, China, Nepal113,279,774
+
India113,158,703 
China63 
Nepal121,007 
50-100 mmPakistan, Afghanistan, India, China, Nepal, Sri Lanka165,730,675
+
Pakistan3,285,443 
Afghanistan52,898 
India153,179,043 
China7,885 
Nepal2,606,251 
Sri Lanka6,599,152 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 May 2021 06:00 194 1.3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 14 May 2021 12:00 269 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 14 May 2021 18:00 274 5.1 million
- - - - India
Blue 4 15 May 2021 00:00 315 1.6 million
- - - - India
Blue 5 15 May 2021 06:00 227 -
- - - - - India
Blue 6 15 May 2021 12:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 May 2021 18:00 159 -
- - - - - India
Blue 8 16 May 2021 00:00 193 -
- - - - - India
Blue 9 16 May 2021 06:00 215 -
- - - - - India
Blue 10 16 May 2021 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 May 2021 18:00 251 -
- - - - - India
Blue 12 17 May 2021 00:00 204 -
- - - - - India
Blue 13 17 May 2021 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 May 2021 12:00 133 890 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 15 17 May 2021 18:00 148 1.6 million
- - - - India
Blue 16 18 May 2021 00:00 128 490 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 17 18 May 2021 06:00 194 29 million
- - - - Pakistan, India, China, Nepal




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

3.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.7m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
3.0 - 5.0 mIndia125,074 
2.0 - 3.0 mIndia531,544 
1.0 - 2.0 mIndia208,740 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndia, Sri Lanka2,836,837
+
India2,830,034 
Sri Lanka6,802 
0.25 - 0.5 mPakistan, India, Sri Lanka646,092
+
Pakistan2,738 
India605,808 
Sri Lanka37,545 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 May 2021 09:30 Kambhat India  3.7
18 May 2021 09:30 Kavi India  3.7
18 May 2021 09:30 Sarod India  3.7
18 May 2021 09:30 Wadgam India  3.5
17 May 2021 18:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  3.4
17 May 2021 18:30 Mahuva India  3.4
18 May 2021 00:00 Tankari India  3.4
17 May 2021 18:30 Kotada India  3.3
17 May 2021 23:15 Asarsa India  3.2
17 May 2021 23:15 Harinagar India  3.1
17 May 2021 22:45 Ghogha India  3.1
17 May 2021 22:45 Dahej India  3.0
17 May 2021 23:15 Muler India  3.0
17 May 2021 22:00 Hansot India  2.8
17 May 2021 18:45 Jafarabad India  2.7
17 May 2021 20:45 Bhagva India  2.7
17 May 2021 20:30 Damka India  2.6
17 May 2021 20:30 Olpad India  2.6
17 May 2021 20:15 Surat India  2.3
17 May 2021 20:15 Jalalpur India  2.3
17 May 2021 20:15 Mahuver India  2.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Nausari India  2.1
17 May 2021 20:00 Navsari India  2.1
17 May 2021 19:00 Rohisa India  2.0
17 May 2021 20:00 Dharasana India  1.9
17 May 2021 20:00 Valsad India  1.9
17 May 2021 18:45 Dharabandar India  1.9
17 May 2021 20:15 Bilimora India  1.8
17 May 2021 20:00 Udvada India  1.8
17 May 2021 20:00 Daman India  1.7
17 May 2021 20:00 Maroli India  1.6
17 May 2021 20:00 Umbargam India  1.5
17 May 2021 19:45 Bordi India  1.4
17 May 2021 19:30 Gholvad India  1.3
17 May 2021 18:45 Delvada India  1.3
17 May 2021 18:45 Nawabandar India  1.3
17 May 2021 19:45 Malyan India  1.3
17 May 2021 18:15 Sakhare India  1.2
17 May 2021 18:15 Tarapur India  1.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Boisar India  1.1
17 May 2021 18:45 Shirgaon India  1.0
17 May 2021 18:45 Palghar India  1.0
17 May 2021 18:45 Mahim India  1.0
17 May 2021 13:15 Mumbai India  0.9
17 May 2021 13:15 Asumumbay India  0.9
17 May 2021 13:15 Uran India  0.9
17 May 2021 13:15 Trombay India  0.9
17 May 2021 13:15 Diva India  0.9
17 May 2021 13:15 Taloje India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:30 Malad India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Nalasopara India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Agashi India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Dongri India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Vasai India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:15 Navghar India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:30 Mandve India  0.8
17 May 2021 22:00 Dangarvadi India  0.8
16 May 2021 06:15 Vengurla India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:15 Terekhol India  0.7
17 May 2021 22:00 Kotra Nes India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Alibag India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:15 Marmagao India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:15 Panaji India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:15 Agacaim India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:15 Madgaon India  0.7
17 May 2021 03:15 Bankot India  0.7
17 May 2021 03:15 Kelshi India  0.7
16 May 2021 17:15 Guhagar India  0.7
16 May 2021 17:15 Anjanwel India  0.7
17 May 2021 11:45 Revadanda India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:30 Chopdem India  0.7
16 May 2021 06:30 Anjuna India  0.7
17 May 2021 05:00 Murud India  0.7
17 May 2021 05:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.7
17 May 2021 03:00 Srivardhan India  0.7
16 May 2021 17:15 Boria India  0.6
16 May 2021 02:00 Karwar India  0.6
16 May 2021 02:00 Belekeri India  0.6
16 May 2021 02:00 Ankola India  0.6
16 May 2021 02:00 Gokarn India  0.6
16 May 2021 13:30 Vijayadurg India  0.6
16 May 2021 13:30 Devgarh India  0.6
16 May 2021 13:30 Pural India  0.6
17 May 2021 22:00 Kodinar India  0.6
17 May 2021 03:15 Jaigarh India  0.6
16 May 2021 05:45 Advota India  0.6
16 May 2021 05:45 Chaudi India  0.6
16 May 2021 17:30 Mirya India  0.6
16 May 2021 17:30 Ratnagiri India  0.6
16 May 2021 13:45 Purangad India  0.6
16 May 2021 13:45 Purnagad India  0.6
16 May 2021 13:45 Adiura India  0.6
16 May 2021 05:45 Majali India  0.6
16 May 2021 13:30 Achra India  0.6
16 May 2021 01:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.6
15 May 2021 01:30 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 01:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.5
16 May 2021 06:00 Malvan India  0.5
16 May 2021 02:15 Kumta India  0.5
15 May 2021 01:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 01:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 00:45 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.5
17 May 2021 21:30 Lodhwa India  0.5
15 May 2021 21:45 Honavar India  0.5
15 May 2021 21:45 Manki India  0.5
14 May 2021 23:30 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 22:30 Mavalli India  0.5
15 May 2021 22:30 Shirali India  0.5
15 May 2021 22:30 Bhatkal India  0.5
15 May 2021 21:15 Bainduru India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:15 Chittadi India  0.4
17 May 2021 21:30 Sutrapada India  0.4
17 May 2021 22:45 Somnath India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:30 Kundapura India  0.4
17 May 2021 21:15 Veraval India  0.4
16 May 2021 05:00 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 05:00 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 05:00 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 05:00 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.4
14 May 2021 14:15 New Kandla India  0.3
14 May 2021 14:15 Navlakhi India  0.3
14 May 2021 22:45 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
19 May 2021 17:30 Akri India  0.3
17 May 2021 22:45 Chorwad India  0.3
19 May 2021 12:00 Tuna India  0.3
19 May 2021 11:45 Jodiya India  0.3
15 May 2021 12:15 Udipi India  0.3
14 May 2021 22:15 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Gadechi India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Okha India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Aramda India  0.3
19 May 2021 12:00 Jambura India  0.3
14 May 2021 22:45 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 16:45 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.3
19 May 2021 16:15 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:15 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 19:00 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.3
17 May 2021 23:00 Mangrol India  0.3
19 May 2021 12:15 Mundra India  0.3
19 May 2021 13:15 Jhankhar India  0.3
19 May 2021 13:15 Sika India  0.3
15 May 2021 20:45 Mulki India  0.3
17 May 2021 23:00 Shil India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Kozhikode India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Beypore India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Chaliyam India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Tirurangadi India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Tanur India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.3
19 May 2021 12:30 Navinal India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Tellicherry India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Mahe India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Badagara India  0.3
14 May 2021 21:15 Payyoli India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:45 Mattancheri India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:45 Turavur India  0.2
15 May 2021 19:15 Edakkad India  0.2
15 May 2021 19:15 Dharmadam India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Cannanore India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:45 Salaya India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Valapattanam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Azhikkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Quilandi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:30 Suthri India  0.2
19 May 2021 13:45 Bhadia India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayipara India  0.2
19 May 2021 14:30 Mandvi India  0.2
15 May 2021 15:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
15 May 2021 15:00 Kumbla India  0.2
15 May 2021 11:30 Mangaluru India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:30 Atirampattinam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Cochin India  0.2
17 May 2021 23:30 Gorser India  0.2
15 May 2021 19:45 Kasaragod India  0.2
15 May 2021 19:45 Bekal India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:15 Kattumavadi India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:45 Nileshwar India  0.2
19 May 2021 17:00 Kodigeri India  0.2
19 May 2021 17:00 Vedaranyam India  0.2
19 May 2021 17:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Chervattur India  0.2
14 May 2021 18:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 18:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
17 May 2021 23:30 Ratia India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Thoothukkudi India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Melmandai India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Vembar India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Ponnani India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Veliyangod India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.2
20 May 2021 16:30 Manamelkudi India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:00 Dwarka India  0.2
20 May 2021 17:15 Ammapatam India  0.2
18 May 2021 21:45 Adodar India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Kadikkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Alleppey India  0.2
20 May 2021 17:45 Kottaippattanam India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Ambalapulai India  0.2
18 May 2021 22:00 Porbandar India  0.2
19 May 2021 07:15 Miyani India  0.2
19 May 2021 07:30 Lamba India  0.2
19 May 2021 14:30 Madhi India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Manattala India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Chavakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Guruvayur India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Chaughat India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Pappinivatti India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Talikkulam India  0.2
15 May 2021 02:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
19 May 2021 14:45 Bhogat India  0.2
20 May 2021 14:45 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:45 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 17:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 11:00 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Nizampatam India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Kottapalem India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 21:45 Haripad India  0.1
20 May 2021 21:00 Devipatam India  0.1
20 May 2021 21:00 Muttupettai India  0.1
20 May 2021 21:00 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
20 May 2021 21:00 Panalkkulam India  0.1
20 May 2021 21:00 Irumeni India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Tiruchendur India  0.1
20 May 2021 15:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Sikkal India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Kilakarai India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Chakicherla India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:45 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:45 Isa Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 06:45 Keti Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 15:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Malan Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 13:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Kakinada India  0.1
15 May 2021 10:00 Kayankulam India  0.1
15 May 2021 10:00 Karunagapalli India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Pentakota India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Vanak Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Gurdim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Guraim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Dorri Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Machan Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Konarak Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 18:15 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.1
20 May 2021 15:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Ullapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Pakala India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Bayahi Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 09:00 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 09:00 Miski Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
20 May 2021 13:30 Peddapatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 13:30 Gollapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 08:45 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Kodur India  0.1
19 May 2021 14:30 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 09:00 Tis Iran  0.1
19 May 2021 09:00 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
19 May 2021 09:00 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 21:15 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 'Urf Oman  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
15 May 2021 10:30 Quilon India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Kereti Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Akara Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 20:30 Tondi India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:15 Rameswaram India  0.1
20 May 2021 19:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 15:15 Kalpitiya Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 11:30 Govundlapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:00 Periathullay India  0.1