Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NICHOLAS-21
in United States
12 Sep 2021 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone NICHOLAS-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries United States
    Exposed population 480 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (14 Sep 15:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (United States)
    Landfall between
    14 Sep 2021 00:00 - 14 Sep 2021 12:00
    in United States

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 120 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 9.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 12 Sep 2021 15:00 102 9.4 million No people Mexico, United States

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 12 Sep 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.5, -94.8
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Sep 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 5300 people 21.9, -95.7
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.6 million people 24.1, -96.6
          GREEN
          		 1 14 Sep 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2.3 million people 26.4, -96.9
          GREEN
          		 1 14 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 7.4 million people 28.2, -96.5 United States
          GREEN
          		 1 15 Sep 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 7.2 million people 29.4, -95.9 United States
          GREEN
          		 1 15 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 30.3, -95.2 United States
          GREEN
          		 1 16 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 31, -94.8 United States
          GREEN
          		 1 17 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 32, -94.5 United States
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico
          United States

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Tamaulipas Mexico
          Texas United States

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Valle Hermoso Tamaulipas Mexico City 48000 people
          Matamoros Tamaulipas Mexico City 430000 people
          Brownsville Texas United States City 140000 people
          San Benito Texas United States City 23000 people
          Harlingen Texas United States City 58000 people
          Mercedes Texas United States City 14000 people
          Donna Texas United States City 15000 people
          Edinburg Texas United States City 48000 people
          Raymondville Texas United States City 9700 people
          Sarita Texas United States City -
          Kingsville Texas United States City 26000 people
          Corpus Christi Texas United States Major city 280000 people
          Robstown Texas United States City 13000 people
          Sinton Texas United States City 5700 people
          Mathis Texas United States City 5000 people
          Port Lavaca Texas United States City 12000 people
          Beeville Texas United States City 13000 people
          Freeport Texas United States City 13000 people
          Bay City Texas United States City 19000 people
          Victoria Texas United States City 61000 people
          Edna Texas United States City 5900 people
          Angleton Texas United States City 18000 people
          Galveston Texas United States City 57000 people
          El Campo Texas United States City 11000 people
          Texas City Texas United States City 42000 people
          Guero Texas United States City -
          Yoakum Texas United States City 5700 people
          New Territory Texas United States City 14000 people
          Pasadena Texas United States City 140000 people
          Baytown Texas United States City 66000 people
          Cinco Ranch Texas United States City 11000 people
          Houston Texas United States Major city 2 million people
          Atascocita Texas United States City 36000 people
          Dayton Texas United States City 5700 people
          Liberty Texas United States City 8000 people
          Conroe Texas United States City 37000 people
          Cleveland Texas United States City 7600 people
          Huntsville Texas United States City 35000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Pesca 5 0
          Carvajal 7 0
          El Mezquite 5 0
          Matamoros MAM 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
          South Padre Island International BRO 7 Civ. Paved Yes 7400
          U S Coast Guard Station 1 0
          Columbia Valley Regional 8 0
          Southeastern Helicopters 2 0
          AG Air Inc. 9 0
          Drennan Farm 8 0
          Port Isabel Cameron County 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
          Rancho Buena Vista 6 0
          San Benito Municipal 9 0
          Farmer's Co-op 11 0
          Valley Baptist Medical Center 18 0
          Texas Air Museum 9 0
          Shofner Farms 17 0
          Progreso 21 0
          Rio Grande Valley International HRL 11 Civ. Paved Yes 8300
          Old Reb 18 0
          Mid Valley 21 0
          Mid-Valley Dusters Inc 28 0
          Cannon Aviation 20 0
          Charles R Johnson 3 0
          T R Funk Inc. 7 0
          Bell Airfield 9 0
          Norman & White 27 0
          Edinburg Rio Grande Valley 24 0
          Armstrong Ranch 8 0
          Waldron Field Nalf 8 0
          Kingsville NAS NQI 15 Mil. Paved No 8000
          Mustang Island 3 0
          Corpus Christi NAS NGP 6 Mil. Paved Yes 8000
          Dean 14 0
          Cabaniss Field Nalf NGW 10 0
          Mustang Beach 2 0
          Bishop Municipal 17 0
          D.F.C.H. 9 0
          Texas Dept. of Public Safety 11 0
          Cuddihy Field CUX 12 0
          Industrial Helicopters Inc 3 0
          Memorial Medical Center 12 0
          Oliver Till 26 0
          Jbh Aerospace 5 0
          Corpus Christi International CRP 13 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
          Aransas Pass 1 0
          San Jose Island 3 0
          Coastal Bend Hospital 3 0
          T P Mc Campbell 5 0
          Nueces County 24 0
          Hunt 12 0
          Hpl 18 0
          Tgp 1 33 0
          Magee 11 0
          Rabb Dusting Inc 25 0
          High Man Tower Airstrip 27 0
          Old Hoppe Place 29 0
          Aransas Natl Wldlife Refuge 3 0
          Aransas County RKP 8 Civ. Paved Yes 5600
          Kalt Ranch 5 0
          San Patricio County 15 0
          San Patricio International 15 0
          Pierce Field 2 0
          Cig 804 7 0
          Air Logistics 2 0
          Mellon Ranch 12 0
          Port O'connor Base (Ehi) 2 0
          Rooke Field RFG 17 Civ. Paved No 4500
          Matagorda Peninsula 3 0
          Whatley Flying Service 6 0
          Big Duke's Place 2 0
          Gulf Coast 11 0
          Tanner's 5 0
          Memorial Hospital 15 0
          Matagorda Shore Facility 2 0
          Chase Field NAS NIR 58 0
          Green Lake Ranch 15 0
          Sartwelle Ranch 5 0
          Cig 806 7 0
          Beeville Municipal 82 0
          Calhoun County 10 0
          Palacios Municipal PSX 5 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
          Trull 5 0
          Wolf Point 4 0
          South Texas Project 10 0
          Kubecka Aviation 6 0
          M-I Drilling Fluids Company 2 0
          Hercules Marine Services Corp 1 0
          Fay Ranch 8 0
          Whites 13 0
          Goliad Nalf 99 0
          Eagle Air Park 5 0
          Fehmel Dusting Service 15 0
          W D Cornilius Ranch 14 0
          Bay City Municipal BBC 14 0
          Victoria Bank & Trust Motor Garage 35 0
          Citizens Medical Center 29 0
          Cig 809 16 0
          County - Foster VCT 35 Civ. Paved Yes 9100
          Brazoria H Ferry BZT unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Brownsville USBRO Wake Island
          Port Isabel USPIS Wake Island
          Corpus Christi USCRP Wake Island
          Port Aransas Wake Island
          Port Ingleside Wake Island
          Ingleside Wake Island
          Rockport Wake Island
          Port O'Connor Wake Island
          Palacios Wake Island
          Point Comfort USPCR Wake Island
          Port Lavaca USPLV Wake Island
          Freeport USFRP Wake Island
          Galveston USGLS Wake Island
          Port Bolivar Wake Island
          Texas City USTXT Wake Island
          Baytown USHPY Wake Island
          Pasadena USPSD Wake Island
          Port Adams USNSW Wake Island
          Houston Wake Island

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Monte Alto Reservoir Delta Lake Unit 2 Levee OS 1939
          Lake Edinburg Retama Reservoir Levee OS 1935
          Wesley E. Seale Dam Nueces River 1958
          Cooling Reservoir Dam Offstream Colorado River 1981
          Prudential Reservoir 3 Trib. Kellers Creek 1976
          Coleto Creek Dam Coleto Creek 1980
          Palmetto Bend Dam Navidad River 1981
          Brazoria Reservoir Dam Offstream Brazos River 1954
          William Harris Reservoir Dam Offstream Oyster Creek 1947
          Lake George Smithers Lake Dam Dry Creek 1957
          Cedar Bayou Generating Pond Levee Cedar Bayou 1972
          Lake Anahuac Levee Turtle Bayou n/a
          Lake Houston Dam San Jacinto River 1954
          Cedar Creek Dam Cedar Creek 1977
          Conroe Dam West Fork of San Jacinto River 1973
          Lewis Creek Dam Lewis Creek 1969
          Livingston Dam Trinity River 1969
          Gibbons Creek Dam Gibbons Creek 1981

          Nuclear plants

          Name Country Reactors
          SOUTH TEXAS UNITED STATES 2
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Port O'Connor, United States. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2021 15:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (149 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 12 Sep 2021 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Sep 2021 15:00 Port O'Connor United States  1.3
          14 Sep 2021 15:00 Palacios United States  1.3
          14 Sep 2021 16:00 Matagorda United States  1.0
          15 Sep 2021 00:00 Flake United States  0.9
          15 Sep 2021 00:00 Elmgrove United States  0.9
          15 Sep 2021 00:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.9
          15 Sep 2021 00:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.9
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Nadeau United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Texas City United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Virginia Point United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Fort Travis United States  0.8
          13 Sep 2021 22:00 South Padre Island United States  0.8
          13 Sep 2021 22:00 Boca Chica United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 16:00 Chinquapin United States  0.8
          14 Sep 2021 22:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.8
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Patton United States  0.7
          14 Sep 2021 11:00 Spanish Village United States  0.7
          14 Sep 2021 20:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.7
          14 Sep 2021 20:00 Sea Isle United States  0.7
          14 Sep 2021 19:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.7
          15 Sep 2021 00:00 High Island United States  0.7
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Caplen United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 20:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.6
          15 Sep 2021 00:00 Gilchrist United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Constance Beach United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 23:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.6
          15 Sep 2021 05:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.6
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 22:00 Holly Beach United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 22:00 Cameron United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 20:00 Galveston United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 17:00 Gulf Park United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 17:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 17:00 Freeport United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 18:00 Surfside United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 19:00 Mims United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 18:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 19:00 Hoskins United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 19:00 Port Morris United States  0.6
          13 Sep 2021 21:00 Holly Beach United States  0.6
          13 Sep 2021 21:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.6
          13 Sep 2021 21:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.6
          13 Sep 2021 21:00 Port Isabel United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 17:00 Hoskins United States  0.6
          14 Sep 2021 18:00 Quintana United States  0.6
          13 Sep 2021 22:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.5
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Oak Grove United States  0.5
          14 Sep 2021 17:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.5
          13 Sep 2021 20:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.5
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Estes United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 07:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 07:00 Port Aransas United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Rockport United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Copano Village United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 08:00 Fulton United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 06:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.4
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Leeville United States  0.4
          14 Sep 2021 05:00 Yarborough United States  0.4
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 West Point United States  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Hilda United States  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Gautier United States  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Breton United States  0.3
          13 Sep 2021 11:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.3
          13 Sep 2021 14:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.3
          13 Sep 2021 14:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.3
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          13 Sep 2021 15:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 04:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 04:00 Grand Isle United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 05:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Ostrica United States  0.2
          13 Sep 2021 08:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Buras United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Neptune United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 02:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 05:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Coden United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Nelson United States  0.2
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.2
          13 Sep 2021 00:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 16:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 16:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 11:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 09:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Oak United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Swift United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Romar Beach United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Miffin United States  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 01:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 10:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 00:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 04:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 01:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Gasque United States  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 05:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 05:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 05:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 11:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 06:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 06:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Boothville United States  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Progreso Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 07:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Duvic United States  0.1
          12 Sep 2021 23:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
          13 Sep 2021 01:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 08:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 08:00 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 11:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
          15 Sep 2021 03:00 Destin United States  0.1