Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 12 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

12 Mar 2022 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1 m (11 Mar 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 10 Mar 2022 18:00 - 11 Mar 2022 00:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	185 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 410000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	111	1000 thousand	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	130	4.9 million	230 thousand	Mozambique
3	08 Mar 2022 18:00	139	8.1 million	540 thousand	Mozambique
4	09 Mar 2022 06:00	130	5.3 million	1.3 million	Mozambique
5	09 Mar 2022 18:00	185	6.2 million	2.1 million	Mozambique
6	10 Mar 2022 00:00	185	5.9 million	440 thousand	Mozambique
7	10 Mar 2022 06:00	167	8 million	500 thousand	Mozambique
8	10 Mar 2022 12:00	185	7 million	600 thousand	Mozambique
9	10 Mar 2022 18:00	148	6.4 million	850 thousand	Mozambique
10	11 Mar 2022 00:00	185	5.6 million	No people	Mozambique, Madagascar
11	11 Mar 2022 06:00	148	410 thousand	No people	Madagascar
12	11 Mar 2022 18:00	83	410 thousand	No people	Madagascar
13	12 Mar 2022 06:00	83	2.8 million	No people	Mozambique, Madagascar
14	12 Mar 2022 18:00	46	410 thousand	No people	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-15.6, 51.3
2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.4, 49.4	Madagascar
3	08 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	400000 people	-15.1, 47.6	Madagascar
4	09 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-14.8, 46
5	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.3, 44.3
6	10 Mar 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.3, 43.6
7	10 Mar 2022 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	1.1 million people	-15.6, 42.8
8	10 Mar 2022 12:00	Category 1	139	100000 people	1.5 million people	-15.9, 42.1
9	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Category 1	148	300000 people	4.3 million people	-15.9, 41.4
10	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	4.2 million people	-15.5, 40.7	Mozambique
11	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-15.2, 40.1	Mozambique
12	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-15.2, 38.4	Mozambique
13	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.3, 36.7	Mozambique
14	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-15.6, 35.1	Malawi
14	13 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-16.2, 34.6	Malawi, Mozambique

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Mahajanga	Madagascar
Toamasina	Madagascar
Antsiranana	Madagascar

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Maroantsetra	WMN	4	Civ.	Paved	No	4200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Maroantsetra	MGWMN	Madagascar

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.0m in Barroa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (138 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 12 Mar 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Barroa	Mozambique	1.0
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.9
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.8
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.8
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.6
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.6
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Momade	Mozambique	0.5
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.5
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.5
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.5
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.5
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.5
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Namacoto	Mozambique	0.4
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.4
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.4
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.4
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.4
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.4
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Nantapa	Mozambique	0.3
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 22:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.3
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Namuali	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Mossuril	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 22:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.3
	16 Mar 2022 02:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.3
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 22:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 22:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.3
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.3
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Cabaceira	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 19:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 19:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 19:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.3
	14 Mar 2022 16:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Calajulo	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Sanhute	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Larde	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Coropoa	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Natiquinde	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Injaca	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Mocambique	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Lumbo	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Mosengeri	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 18:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 04:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 04:00	Carramali	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ankazobe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 05:00	Lunga	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 05:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 18:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ampanihy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Manampea	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Belailay	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Manomba	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Tambohorano	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ambatomilahy	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 15:00	Bajone	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 15:00	Pebane	Mozambique	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Maintirano	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Mocareja	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Matibane	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 04:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 07:00	Maaia	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ankoakala	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Antsamaka	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Antandrokomby	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Alimperia	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 15:00	Mutadua	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Manometimay	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Antserananbondro	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Kivalo Est	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ankatrafay	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Caramaca	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ankaranakatra	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Minhauine	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Moebase	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Murrumuana	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Antsafy	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Onara	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 22:00	Bartolomeu Dias	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Miaola	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Messonta	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Angoche	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Morondava	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Belo-sur-Mer	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2022 06:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.1

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