Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JASMINE-22
in Madagascar
25 Apr 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JASMINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Madagascar
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (24 Apr 08:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
    Landfall between
    26 Apr 2022 06:00 - 26 Apr 2022 18:00
    in Madagascar

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 93 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 102 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      93 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Apr 2022 00:00 74 No people No people
        Green 2 24 Apr 2022 06:00 74 No people No people
        Green 3 24 Apr 2022 18:00 93 No people No people
        Green 4 25 Apr 2022 06:00 83 680 thousand No people Madagascar
        Green 5 25 Apr 2022 12:00 102 570 thousand No people Madagascar
        Green 6 25 Apr 2022 18:00 93 1 million No people Madagascar

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Apr 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17.5, 40.3
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.9, 39.4
          GREEN
          		 3 24 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -19.2, 39.5
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -20.4, 40.3
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Apr 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -21.1, 40.8
          GREEN
          		 6 25 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -22.2, 41.3
          GREEN
          		 6 26 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 680000 people -22.9, 42.2
          GREEN
          		 6 26 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1 million people -23.1, 43.5 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 6 27 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -22.8, 45.8 Madagascar
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Madagascar

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Toliara Madagascar
          Fianarantsoa Madagascar

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Tulear Toliara Madagascar Major city -
          Ankazoabo Toliara Madagascar City 26000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Toliara TLE 8 Civ. Paved No 6500
          Ankazoabo WAK 430 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
          Betioky BKU unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Manombo MGMOB Madagascar
          Toliara MGTLE Madagascar
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Damiao, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2022 08:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (120 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 24 Apr 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.6
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.6
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.6
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Beira Mozambique  0.6
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.5
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Amado Mozambique  0.5
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.5
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Manica Mozambique  0.4
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.4
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Tama Mozambique  0.4
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.4
          24 Apr 2022 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.4
          25 Apr 2022 17:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 11:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 11:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 11:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 15:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 15:00 Barra Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 15:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 15:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 15:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.3
          24 Apr 2022 15:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.3
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 12:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 12:00 Onara Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 12:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 12:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 12:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 11:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 08:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2022 11:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 04:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 03:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 02:00 Napito Mozambique  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 21:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 07:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 21:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 20:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 20:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 03:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 02:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
          24 Apr 2022 03:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 19:00 Afo Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2022 18:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.1