Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KARIM-22 in Cocos (Keeling) Islands from 07 May 2022 06:00 UTC to 10:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARIM-22

in Cocos (Keeling) Islands

07 May 2022 10 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
1 min - 10 min
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact
10 min
1 min

Tropical Cyclone KARIM-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	106 km/h (1-min*)
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (07 May 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Cocos Is.)
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind (1-min*)	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	106 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	106 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind
10 min
1 min

Impact Timeline
10 min
1 min

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h) (1-min*)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	07 May 2022 10:00	106	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h) (1-min*)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Category (WMO/RSMC) **	Max winds (km/h) (WMO/RSMC)	Location (lat, lon)
1	07 May 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-7.9, 89.3
1	07 May 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-8.7, 89.8
1	08 May 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-9.9, 90.1
1	08 May 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-11.1, 90.5
1	09 May 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-12.2, 91
1	09 May 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-14.1, 91.6
1	10 May 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-15.5, 92.3
1	10 May 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-17.7, 93.4
1	11 May 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-19, 94.9
1	11 May 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-18.9, 96.1
1	12 May 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-17.2, 94.8

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Sungsang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 07 May 2022 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (6 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 07 May 2022 10:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 May 2022 19:00	Sungsang	Indonesia	0.4
	07 May 2022 13:00	Nipahpandjang	Indonesia	0.2
	07 May 2022 14:00	Paritbawoeng	Indonesia	0.2
	07 May 2022 14:00	Paritsungaibutuh	Indonesia	0.2
	07 May 2022 13:00	Belodo	Indonesia	0.1
	07 May 2022 13:00	Kreewing	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

Impact 10 min1 min