Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (31 May 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
30 May 2022 12:00 - 31 May 2022 00:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 194 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 220000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico
Orange 2 28 May 2022 09:00 157 4.6 million 520 thousand Mexico
Orange 3 28 May 2022 15:00 157 3.9 million 270 thousand Mexico
Orange 4 28 May 2022 21:00 167 4.2 million 210 thousand Mexico
Orange 5 29 May 2022 03:00 157 2.9 million 150 thousand Mexico
Orange 6 29 May 2022 09:00 148 3.3 million 190 thousand Mexico
Orange 7 29 May 2022 15:00 176 3.7 million 350 thousand Mexico
Red 8 29 May 2022 21:00 194 2.9 million 200 thousand Mexico
Red 9 30 May 2022 03:00 194 3.6 million 220 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
GREEN
2 28 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -98.1
GREEN
3 28 May 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.2, -98.4
GREEN
4 28 May 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.8, -98.1
GREEN
5 29 May 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.9, -98.7
GREEN
6 29 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, -98.8
GREEN
7 29 May 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.1, -99
GREEN
8 29 May 2022 21:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 14.1, -98.7
GREEN
9 30 May 2022 03:00 Category 2 176 no people 290000 people 14.5, -98.2
RED
9 30 May 2022 12:00 Category 3 194 110000 people 1.6 million people 14.9, -97.4
RED
9 31 May 2022 00:00 Category 3 194 200000 people 2.5 million people 15.6, -96.2 Mexico
GREEN
9 31 May 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2.2 million people 16.7, -95.2 Mexico
GREEN
9 01 Jun 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.6, -94.4 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Oaxaca Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people
Ciudad Ixtepec Oaxaca Mexico City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Pochutla PUH unknown 0
Bahias de Huatulco International HUX 143 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
Ixtepec IZT unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Puerto Angel Mexico

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Presidente Benito Juarez Tehuantepec 1961

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Loma Larga, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 May 2022 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (21 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 29 May 2022 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2022 01:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 00:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 01:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 03:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 04:00 Mirador Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 09:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 09:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 09:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 09:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 09:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 09:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 03:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 06:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
30 May 2022 23:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
28 May 2022 21:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 00:00 Coyote Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 20:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 20:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 20:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 13:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 13:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1