Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for JULIA-22 in Nicaragua from 06 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC to 10 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for JULIA-22

in Nicaragua

10 Oct 2022 21 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Nicaragua
Exposed population	520 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	139 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.2 m (09 Oct 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall	between 10 Oct 2022 03:00 - 10 Oct 2022 09:00 in El Salvador

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	139 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 12.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	06 Oct 2022 15:00	83	17.9 million	No people	Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico
2	06 Oct 2022 21:00	139	15.2 million	No people	Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala
3	07 Oct 2022 03:00	139	12.3 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua, Honduras
4	07 Oct 2022 09:00	139	4.4 million	40 thousand	Nicaragua
5	07 Oct 2022 15:00	139	13.7 million	320 thousand	Nicaragua
6	07 Oct 2022 21:00	120	11.1 million	130 thousand	Nicaragua
7	08 Oct 2022 03:00	130	12.6 million	590 thousand	Nicaragua
8	08 Oct 2022 09:00	148	12.1 million	140 thousand	Colombia, Nicaragua
9	08 Oct 2022 15:00	130	11.6 million	440 thousand	Colombia, Nicaragua
10	08 Oct 2022 21:00	130	8.1 million	190 thousand	Nicaragua
11	09 Oct 2022 03:00	120	8.6 million	210 thousand	Nicaragua
12	09 Oct 2022 09:00	139	6.7 million	850 thousand	Nicaragua
13	09 Oct 2022 15:00	111	7.7 million	520 thousand	Nicaragua
14	09 Oct 2022 21:00	83	8.1 million	520 thousand	Nicaragua
15	10 Oct 2022 03:00	65	11.8 million	520 thousand	Nicaragua
16	10 Oct 2022 09:00	65	15.2 million	520 thousand	Nicaragua
17	10 Oct 2022 15:00	56	12.6 million	520 thousand	Nicaragua
18	10 Oct 2022 21:00	46	12.6 million	520 thousand	Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	06 Oct 2022 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.4, -67
2	06 Oct 2022 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	380000 people	11.6, -68.7
3	07 Oct 2022 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	73000 people	11.9, -69.8	Venezuela
4	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	59000 people	12.1, -71.1	Colombia
5	07 Oct 2022 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	140000 people	12.7, -73.1
6	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13, -74.7
7	08 Oct 2022 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	12.8, -76.1
8	08 Oct 2022 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	82000 people	12.7, -78
9	08 Oct 2022 15:00	Tropical storm	102	77000 people	120000 people	12.6, -79.9
10	08 Oct 2022 21:00	Tropical storm	111	74000 people	830000 people	12.6, -81.3
11	09 Oct 2022 03:00	Category 1	120	210000 people	5.1 million people	12.5, -82.7
12	09 Oct 2022 09:00	Category 1	139	840000 people	5.5 million people	12.4, -84	Nicaragua
13	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	5.3 million people	12.4, -85.4	Nicaragua
14	09 Oct 2022 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	3.9 million people	12.4, -86.9	Nicaragua
15	10 Oct 2022 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.4 million people	12.8, -88.1
16	10 Oct 2022 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	7.9 million people	13.4, -89.2	El Salvador
17	10 Oct 2022 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.1, -90.3	Guatemala
18	10 Oct 2022 21:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	15, -91.6	Guatemala

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
810000 people
5.3 million people
420000 people
5.7 million people
46000 people
180000 people

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
31000 people
51000 people
370000 people
6000 people
350000 people
340000 people
500000 people
470000 people
<1000 people
750000 people
1.6 million people
220000 people
16000 people
320000 people
160000 people
360000 people
380000 people
42000 people
130000 people
69000 people
350000 people
380000 people
100000 people
140000 people
380000 people
220000 people
390000 people
560000 people
1.4 million people
180000 people
350000 people
160000 people
180000 people
760000 people
170000 people
150000 people
10000 people
130000 people
31000 people
<1000 people
4500 people
41000 people
140000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.