Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELEVEN-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELEVEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (23 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 0 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 81 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

81 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2018 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2018 06:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2018 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Sep 2018 18:00 75 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2018 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Sep 2018 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Sep 2018 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Mision San Francisco de Guayo, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2018 06:00 Mision San Francisco de Guayo Venezuela  0.2
23 Sep 2018 06:00 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.2
23 Sep 2018 06:00 Jotajana Venezuela  0.2
23 Sep 2018 17:00 Carupano Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 17:00 Puerto Santo Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 17:00 Rio Caribe Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 08:00 La Linea Venezuela  0.1
24 Sep 2018 05:45 Irapa Venezuela  0.1
24 Sep 2018 05:45 Soro Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 16:45 Agua Fria Venezuela  0.1
24 Sep 2018 02:15 San Juan de las Galdonas Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 08:30 Hackney Guyana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 08:30 Marlborough Guyana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 West End Village Anguilla  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 The Valley Anguilla  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 09:00 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.1
23 Sep 2018 21:30 San Juan Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 21:30 Unare Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:30 Remire French Guiana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:30 Montjoly French Guiana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
23 Sep 2018 06:15 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1