Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LILI-19 in Timor-Leste, Indonesia from 09 May 2019 06:00 UTC to 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19

in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

09 May 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Indonesia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (11 May 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	90 km/h	0.3 m	752 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	79 km/h	0.3 m	517 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Indonesia	27,672

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	08 May 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	09 May 2019 00:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Timor-Leste	1,246
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	230,960	+
	Indonesia	48,093
	Timor-Leste	182,867
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	534,713	+
	Indonesia	255,852
	Other countries	4,058
	Timor-Leste	274,803

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	08 May 2019 12:00	523	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	09 May 2019 00:00	752	230 thousand				-	-	-	Indonesia, Other countries, Timor-Leste

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 11 May 2019 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 May 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 May 2019 03:45	Wickham	Australia	0.3
	11 May 2019 03:45	Point Samson	Australia	0.3
	11 May 2019 03:45	Cossack	Australia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Pematangdoerian	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Semisir	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Tandjungserdang	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Salinau	Indonesia	0.3
	10 May 2019 04:15	Semaras	Indonesia	0.3
	11 May 2019 09:45	Derby	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:45	Boenati	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Sawarangan	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:30	Kandangan	Indonesia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Batakam	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 04:45	Mardie	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:45	Tapianbalai	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 06:15	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 06:15	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	09 May 2019 01:45	Tandjung Tudpateh	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 01:45	Noewewan	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 01:45	Serwaru	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 01:45	Luhulele	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 01:45	Wakarleli	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 01:45	Kaiwatu	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 01:45	Patti	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 00:30	Siota	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 00:30	Klis	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 00:30	Toenwawang	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 00:30	Moanga	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 00:30	Letoda	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 00:30	Keti	Indonesia	0.2
	09 May 2019 00:30	Sera	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 07:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 02:30	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Parap	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 12:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:45	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 06:45	Pender	Australia	0.2
	10 May 2019 03:15	Okaoka	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 07:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.1
	11 May 2019 08:30	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	11 May 2019 08:30	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	10 May 2019 05:30	Langadai	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 05:00	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 05:00	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 05:00	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 03:15	Teloekkapalpetjah	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 17:15	Gribble Settlement	Australia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:45	Bahomia	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:45	Maiwawa	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:45	Djokdjoh	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:45	Namasan	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:45	Utarom	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:45	Kaimana	Indonesia	0.1
	10 May 2019 07:45	Moearona	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Haria	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Saparua	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Latu	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 03:30	Nolot	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Petjatu	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Seseh	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Kuta	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Djimbaran	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Boealoe	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Benua	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Denpasar	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 02:30	Sukawati	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 21:00	Kilbawar	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 21:00	Waru	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 21:00	Kufar	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:00	Benteng	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:00	Kajuangin	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:00	Pekangkang	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:00	Udjung	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 19:45	Baja	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 12:15	Tungkaranasam	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 12:15	Sekapoeng	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Tioro	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Kembano	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Tampo	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Mabodo	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Raha	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Bonea	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Lohia	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Koroni	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Wakarumba	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Lebo	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Nunu	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Mboe Eain	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Nembrala	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Abuan	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Ulua	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Toedameda	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Batutuah	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Oeseda	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Namodale	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:15	Husdale	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Napabalana	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:45	Bangbong	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Boeboe	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Ronta	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:00	Latambela	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 05:15	Masara	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:00	Lolotuara	Indonesia	0.1
	09 May 2019 00:00	Polau Lakor	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 07:30	Condon	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.