Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia
10 May 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 May 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 May 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 May 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 May 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2019 23:15 Wickham Australia  0.4
10 May 2019 23:15 Point Samson Australia  0.4
10 May 2019 23:15 Cossack Australia  0.4
10 May 2019 22:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 22:15 Karratha Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 09:00 Mardie Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 07:45 Kollan I Australia  0.2
12 May 2019 02:00 Derby Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 09:00 Pender Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:15 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:15 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 07:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 15:30 Langadai Indonesia  0.2
12 May 2019 09:00 Broome Australia  0.2
12 May 2019 09:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:45 Longar Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:45 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:45 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:45 Masian Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 18:30 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 15:15 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 15:15 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 15:15 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 20:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 20:15 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 20:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 20:15 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 20:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 00:45 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 17:45 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Kolono Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Lambo Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Laboeanperopa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Roode Huk Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Tuetue Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Batumea Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Lampeapi Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 00:00 Matarape Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 00:00 Baja Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 08:30 Waterbank Australia  0.1
13 May 2019 13:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:00 Condon Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Belalo Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Kokapi Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 01:15 Jarona Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 01:15 Karufa Kembala Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 01:15 Mirobia Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Pipoeloe Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Poeloepanda Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Kendari Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Meramo Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Wawatoe Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Sambuli Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 22:15 Ibonma Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 22:15 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 22:15 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:15 Pardoo Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Wawalalindu Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Molawe Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Tinobu Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Molore Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Taponggaja Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 18:00 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 18:00 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 18:00 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 18:00 Kaimana Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 18:00 Moearona Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Surutanga Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Bua Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Boesak Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Lura Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Bassiang Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 22:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1