Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for JULIETTE-19 Off-shore from 01 Sep 2019 09:00 UTC to 07 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIETTE-19

Off-shore

01 Sep 2019 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	4.7 m (04 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	86 km/h	4.7 m	509 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	97 km/h	4.7 m	839 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	227

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	31 Aug 2019 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	01 Sep 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	1,455
50-100 mm	Mexico	109,523

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	31 Aug 2019 12:00	220	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	01 Sep 2019 00:00	509	1 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 4.7m in La Fortuna, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	04 Sep 2019 00:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	4.7
	04 Sep 2019 00:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	4.7
	04 Sep 2019 00:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	4.7
	04 Sep 2019 00:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	4.2
	04 Sep 2019 00:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	3.3
	03 Sep 2019 19:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.5
	03 Sep 2019 19:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.4
	03 Sep 2019 19:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.4
	03 Sep 2019 19:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.4
	03 Sep 2019 19:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.4
	03 Sep 2019 19:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.3
	03 Sep 2019 19:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	03 Sep 2019 19:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	03 Sep 2019 19:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	01 Sep 2019 00:45	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	03 Sep 2019 08:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	01 Sep 2019 07:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	01 Sep 2019 07:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 22:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 22:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	01 Sep 2019 00:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 10:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 10:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 00:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 00:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 00:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 00:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 11:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 11:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 13:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 13:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 13:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 23:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 11:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 09:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 07:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 08:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 23:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 23:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 21:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 22:45	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 08:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 10:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 02:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 02:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 21:15	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 10:15	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 10:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 10:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 10:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 11:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 20:45	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 20:45	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 21:15	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 21:15	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 02:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	01 Sep 2019 02:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2019 21:15	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2019 10:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.