Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

30 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (02 Nov 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	86 km/h	0.3 m	333 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	0.4 m	850 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	20,915

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	4,619
100-250 mm	India, Sri Lanka	227,901	+
	India	227,473
	Sri Lanka	428
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka, Maldives	14,352,192	+
	India	12,436,690
	Sri Lanka	1,915,354
	Maldives	148

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	666	430 thousand	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	231	2 thousand	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	388	230 thousand		-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Tarapur, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Tarapur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Gholvad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Malyan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Boisar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Palghar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Mahim	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Umbargam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Maroli	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Daman	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Udvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:15	Kambhat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:15	Kavi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:15	Sarod	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Agashi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Vasai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:15	Wadgam	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Alibag	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Rohisa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Ghogha	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 13:45	Ra's ar Ru'ays	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Murud	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 12:45	Ghalat	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Mahuva	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Kotada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Dahej	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Harinagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Revadanda	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Madayipara	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Madayi	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Damka	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:15	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:15	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 19:15	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 19:15	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 19:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 19:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 15:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 13:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Kumta	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Honavar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Manki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Chittadi	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 16:15	Hasik	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:45	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:45	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:15	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:45	Cannanore	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:45	Edakkad	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:45	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:45	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:45	Mahe	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Al Jumaylah	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:30	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Anjuna	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Bekal	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Devgarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Pural	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Achra	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 20:30	Maghilah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 15:45	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:00	Payyoli	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Beypore	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Kumbla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Majali	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Chervattur	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 00:45	Malvan	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 14:30	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:30	Udipi	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 21:30	Badagara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Shil	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 21:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Mulki	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:45	Tanur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:45	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 15:00	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:45	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:45	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:45	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 22:00	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Suthri	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Chaughat	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Manattala	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:00	Khowr Rapch	Iran	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:45	Haripad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:45	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:45	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Ratia	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Gorser	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:15	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Cochin	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Adodar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:30	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Mina' al Fahl	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Matrah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Masqat	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Al Bustan	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Yiti	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:15	Malan	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Sib	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Miyani	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Kolachel	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Kadiapattanam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Fararah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:15	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Gadechi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Okha	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Aramda	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 14:15	Miji	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:30	Al Kalban	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:45	Filim	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Taingapatam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:30	Alleppey	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 15:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 15:00	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Gwadar	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Barambah	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Varkkallai	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:45	Anjengo	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 17:30	Sirik	Iran	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:15	Bu Baqarah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 16:15	Shinas	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Berizak	Iran	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.