Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for VONGFONG-20 in Philippines from 11 May 2020 18:00 UTC to 16 May 2020 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for VONGFONG-20

in Philippines

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VONGFONG-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (12 May 08:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	61 km/h	0.2 m	47 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	263 km/h	0.8 m	476 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

263 km/h

Up to 2.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 May 2020 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Philippines	97,645
Tropical Storm	Philippines	2,115,014

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	11 May 2020 18:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 May 2020 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 May 2020 06:00	148	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 May 2020 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Philippines	131,300
100-250 mm	Philippines	1,621,260
50-100 mm	China, Philippines	6,179,439	+
	China	2,090,040
	Philippines	4,089,399

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	11 May 2020 18:00	161	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 May 2020 00:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 May 2020 06:00	324	1.8 million				-	-	-	China, Philippines

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Bago, Philippines. This height is estimated for 12 May 2020 08:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 May 2020 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 May 2020 08:15	Bago	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Pangi	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Pequeno	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Davao	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Kumonal	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Lasang	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Limao	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Panabo	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Basao	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Samal	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Tagbitanag	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 08:15	Aumbay	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 10:00	Sawanga Bacon	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 10:00	Abuyog	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 10:00	Gubat	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 10:00	Rapu Rapu	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 10:00	Prieto Diaz	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 10:00	Linao	Philippines	0.2
	12 May 2020 11:30	Garchitorena	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:30	Bagas	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:30	Caramoan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:30	Bikal	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:30	Pandanan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 08:15	Pandasan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 08:15	Maco	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 08:15	Tibagon	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 08:15	Pantukan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 12:00	Bislig	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 12:00	Mangagoy	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 12:00	Otiela	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 12:00	Lingig	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 12:00	Lawigan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 12:00	Barcelona	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:45	Pagtilaan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:45	Boston	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:45	Cateel	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	San Juan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	Fugu	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	Naguilian	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	Abulug	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	Catuguran	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	Linao	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 11:00	Bisagu	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:15	Aparri	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:15	Alilinu	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:15	Punta	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:15	Balza	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:15	Buguey	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 08:15	Hiju	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 10:15	Divilican	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Atimonan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Pag-aguasan	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Concepcion	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Alabat	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Mascarina	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Apad	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Gumaca	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Argosino	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:15	Melgar	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:15	San Jose	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:15	Loreto	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:15	Malinao	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:15	Valencia	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:15	Layagoang	Philippines	0.1
	12 May 2020 09:30	Cabag	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.