Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for BAVI-20 in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea from 21 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC to 27 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20

in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (21 Aug 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (North Korea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	104 km/h	0.3 m	150 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	202 km/h	2.4 m	856 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

202 km/h

Up to 1.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Japan	1,497,152

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	21 Aug 2020 18:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Japan	17,412
100-250 mm	Japan, Taiwan	1,374,961	+
	Japan	1,355,275
	Taiwan	19,686
50-100 mm	Japan, Taiwan	3,256,262	+
	Japan	112,419
	Taiwan	3,143,843

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	21 Aug 2020 18:00	685	1.4 million				-	-	-	Japan, Taiwan

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Abulug, Philippines. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2020 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Abulug	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Catuguran	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Linao	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Bisagu	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Aparri	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Alilinu	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Punta	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Balza	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Buguey	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Honai	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Toyohara	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Kobama	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Agarisuji	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Guhuai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Chiang-t'ien	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Guanjing	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Qingfeng	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Shenquan	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Siwei	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Jingzhou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Huanglong	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Houzhai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Zhelin	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Shenao	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Donghong	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Jinghai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Ch'ao-yang-hsien	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Haimen	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Dahao	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:00	Daitou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Shantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Aotou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Guangao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:30	Chia-li-wan	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:30	Su-ao	Taiwan	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Nanao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Yacheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Sansha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Huang-ch'i	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Shacheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Xiaguan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Pucheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Langqi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Changmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Tantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Fengwo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Chang-chiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Yunlong	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Chin-feng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Baisheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Wuhang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Pingtan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Houtian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Changchun	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Wuqu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Tung-tai	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Guanban	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Ting-hai	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Gongqiancun	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chencheng	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chendai	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Hsi-pu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chengguanzhen	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Guleitou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Tou-cheng	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Fu-lien	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Sha-fan-chieh	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Dawu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Fengwei	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Hsiao-tso	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Zhongmen	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	P'u-hsi	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	P'u-hsi-ch'eng	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Meizhou	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Gangkou	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Hsing-ch'en	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Jiazi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Changqingwei	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Fengting	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Dongsha	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Lingchuan	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Hushi	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Daitou	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Pinghai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	I-shan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Jinxiang	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Hsia-mei	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Liu'ao	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Shentu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Luxia	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Raoping	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chelim	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Gongkou	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Sidu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Dongshan	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Huqiu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Wutian	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Ch'ang-t'an-wo	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:30	Ta-wu	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:30	Ta-niao	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:30	Hsia-ta-chi	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:30	Chin-lun	Taiwan	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Shicheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Guantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Mabi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Hsin-ch'ang-ts'un	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Tu-ho	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Hsin-i	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Cheng-kung	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	San Hsien Tai	Taiwan	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Ch'ien-tung-hsu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Qiandong	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Huanggang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Shih-ma-chuang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Baisha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Touyan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Chenyu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Huanshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Kanmen	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Nanri	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Fuye	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Ta-ch'iu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Cao Yu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Gonzaga	Philippines	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Anhai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Banping	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Bei'ao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:15	Chien-chiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:15	Tung-ch'ung	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:15	Xiahu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Ch'ing-chiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Chumen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Lingmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Aohuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Dalu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Guan'ao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Nonami	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Chikumi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Mambara	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Katae	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Moriyama	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Wataricho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Tonoecho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Watari	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Shichirui	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Takenouchicho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Sakai-Minato	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Fukuura	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Yoshizu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	O-Shinozucho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kumozu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kamiguchi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Higuchi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Goto	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kamidani	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Mihonoseki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Mihonseki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Abe	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Yonago	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Higashi-Fukuhara	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kami-fukubara	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kaike-Onsen	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kuzumo	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Soda	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kaya	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Kawaoka	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Odaka	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Beicuo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Yongning	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Shihu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Dongyuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Hsiang-chih	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Zhangban	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Qian'an	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Chongwu	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Gaoshan	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Weitou	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chin-ching	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Shih-shih	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Yakou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Da'ao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Xinan	China	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.