Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20
in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Aug 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (North Korea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 180 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 202 km/h 2.4 m 856 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

Up to 1.4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan1,374,121 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Aug 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Aug 2020 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 22 Aug 2020 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan57,289 
100-250 mmJapan, Taiwan3,819,392
+
Japan101,512 
Taiwan3,717,880 
50-100 mmJapan, Taiwan8,131,875
+
Japan1,072,228 
Taiwan7,059,647 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Aug 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Aug 2020 18:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Aug 2020 00:00 923 3.9 million
- - - Japan, Taiwan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Abulug, Philippines. This height is estimated for 22 Aug 2020 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Abulug Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Cabuluan Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Catuguran Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Linao Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Bisagu Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Aparri Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Alilinu Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Punta Philippines  0.4
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Balza Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Buguey Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Qiandong China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Jingzhou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Huanglong China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Huanggang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Houzhai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Raoping China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Zhelin China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Shenao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Nanao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Chelim China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Gongkou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Ch'ien-tung-hsu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Guhuai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Chiang-t'ien China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Guanjing China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Qingfeng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Honai Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Toyohara Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Kobama Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Agarisuji Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Siwei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Guleitou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Gangkou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Hsia-mei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Liu'ao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Shentu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Langqi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Changmen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Tantou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Fengwo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Chang-chiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Yunlong China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Chin-feng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Wuhang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Baisheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Hsing-ch'en China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Chendai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Hsi-pu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Huqiu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Wutian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Sidu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Dongshan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Ssu-tu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Gongqiancun China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Chencheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Pingtan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Houtian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Tung-tai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Guanban China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Ting-hai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Chia-li-wan Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Su-ao Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Jiuzhen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Chihu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Fotan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Gangwei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Chen-hai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Daomei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 04:30 Daxu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 04:30 Zhuxi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 04:30 Qiancang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Beicuo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Cao Yu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 San Juan Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Fugu Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Naguilian Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Xucuo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Gulangyu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Xiamen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Dianqian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Jiangtou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Hecuo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Liuwudian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Aotou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Xindian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 An-ting Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Ma-chiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Chin-men Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Lianhe China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:15 I-shan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Jinxiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Shijing China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Tung-shih China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Nanri China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Fuye China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Ta-ch'iu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Hushi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Hanjiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Chiang-k'ou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Yuxi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Tangbian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Shacheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Xiaguan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Pucheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Changchun China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Wuqu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Luxia China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Sansha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Zhongmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 P'u-hsi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Meizhou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Daitou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Pinghai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Shicheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Guantou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Mabi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Tou-cheng Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Anhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Zhenhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Gonzaga Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Yacheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Huang-ch'i China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Yanweigang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Dahao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Aotou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Daitou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Weitou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Chin-ching China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Yakou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Haicang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Songyu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Xianxiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Sanshan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Guangao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Shih-shih China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Yongning China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Hsiang-chih China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Jiazi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Changqingwei China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Anhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Dawu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Fengwei China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Hsiao-tso China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Shih-ma-chuang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Baisha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Touyan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chenyu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Huanshan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Kanmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Ishigaki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Fubai Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Shirafu Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Ibarama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Hirano Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Donghong China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Jinghai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Ch'ao-yang-hsien China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Haimen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Fengting China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Dongsha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Lingchuan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Gaoshan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Ta-wu Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Ta-niao Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Hsia-ta-chi Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Chin-lun Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Tokushima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Tsudacho Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Kagasuno Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Komatsushima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Akaishicho Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Tatsue Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ochi Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Honoura Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Tachibana Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Tomikacho Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Nakashima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Kotashima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Anan Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Chin-ch'ing China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Songmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Kuninaka Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Ichimasui Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Karimata Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Sugama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Hirara Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Arasato Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Bora Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Shantou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Shihu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Dongyuan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Zhangban China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Qian'an China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Chongwu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Hsing-chuang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Hsia-k'ou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Xugou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:30 Shenquan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Lu-kang Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Ching-shui Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Dongxi Liandao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Wusi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Guoyuan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Lao-chiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Donghai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Shuyuan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Banping China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Bei'ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Chien-chiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Tung-ch'ung China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Xiahu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tatsugahama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Karekawa Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Fuke Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Shimotsu Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Kominami Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tannowa Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Wakayama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Bode Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Kainan Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Haitou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Da'ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Wangchuan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Hanjiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Jiankangtang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Lipu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Chien-t'iao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 San-chiao-t'ang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Dinghai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ganlan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Dongsha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Gaoting China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Nanfeng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Luomen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Changtu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ta-chan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Jindo Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Aenang-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Changdong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Anjong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Bawa Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Cabiraoan Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Feng-pin Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Chia-lu-lan Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Shui-lien Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Ch'ing-chiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Chumen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Lingmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Aohuan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Guan'ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Sinsong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tongmokp Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Mongmal Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Sosan Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Songch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Sakiyama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Hoshitate Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Ganpu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Haiyan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Changchuanba China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Baizhuzhen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Changqian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Xitang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Wai-wang-chuang-ch'iao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Zhapu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Niu-ch'iao-shih China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Hai huang Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Yuan-li Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Tung-hsiao Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Shirabaramitake Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chung-fu Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chiang-tzu-p'ing Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tan-shui Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 San-chih Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Chungjang Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Haksong-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Taechon-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 San-chia-shih China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Yura Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:15 Danmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Dongmun Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Hsia-chia-fou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Ch'eng-ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Dituan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Xinan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 P'u-ch'i China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Akinokami Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Naruto Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Honjo Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 San Shah China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Fu-lien Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Gexiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Ch'i-ting Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Chamdu Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Changjong-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Chinch'ang Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Xining China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Lusi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Gongjiazhen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Dong'an China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Hsu-ch'ien-ts'un China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Qingjiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Shirasaki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Sumoto Japan  0.1