Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20
in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Aug 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (North Korea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.3 m 129 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 194 km/h 2.4 m 774 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h

Up to 1.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan22,330 
Tropical StormJapan1,473,572 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Aug 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Aug 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Aug 2020 00:00 180 20 thousand
- - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan127,096 
100-250 mmNorth Korea, Japan, Taiwan2,072,209
+
North Korea23,267 
Japan1,295,488 
Taiwan753,454 
50-100 mmRussia, China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines21,954,419
+
Russia750,229 
China13,009,195 
North Korea3,726,557 
South Korea65 
Japan51,250 
Taiwan4,406,680 
Philippines10,443 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Aug 2020 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Aug 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Aug 2020 00:00 755 2.2 million
- - - Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Qiandong, China. This height is estimated for 22 Aug 2020 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Qiandong China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Jingzhou China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Huanglong China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Huanggang China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Houzhai China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Raoping China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Zhelin China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Shenao China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Nanao China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Chelim China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Gongkou China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Ch'ien-tung-hsu China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Siwei China  0.3
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Sidu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Dongshan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Ssu-tu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Gongqiancun China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Chencheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Hsing-ch'en China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Chendai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Hsi-pu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Chengguanzhen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Guhuai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Guanjing China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Qingfeng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Langqi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Changmen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tantou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Fengwo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Chang-chiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Yunlong China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Chin-feng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Wuhang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Abulug Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Cabuluan Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Catuguran Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Linao Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Bisagu Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Aparri Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Alilinu Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Punta Philippines  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Guleitou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Gangkou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Hsia-mei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Liu'ao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Shentu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Baisheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Honai Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Toyohara Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Kobama Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Agarisuji Japan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Huqiu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Wutian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Pingtan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Houtian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Dawu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Fengwei China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Hsiao-tso China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Zhongmen China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 P'u-hsi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Meizhou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Aya-ri Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Ch'ongam Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Tokch'on-ni Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Chungwa-ri Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Tung-tai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Guanban China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ting-hai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Daxu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Zhuxi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Qiancang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Chiang-k'ou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Daitou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Pinghai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tangbian China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Shicheng China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Nanri China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Fengting China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Dongsha China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Lingchuan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Hushi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Changsu Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Beicuo China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Cao Yu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Yongning China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Shihu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Dongyuan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Hsiang-chih China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Zhangban China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Qian'an China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Chongwu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Mabi China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Anhai China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Fuye China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Ta-ch'iu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Changchun China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Wuqu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Luxia China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Sansha China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Wangchuan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Guantou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Sizhoutou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Xianxiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Sanshan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Chinch'ang Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Dahao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Aotou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:15 Daitou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tung-ch'ung China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Da'ao China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chien-chiang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Xiahu China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Chamdu Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Changjong-ni Republic of Korea  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Yanweigang China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chin-men Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Lianhe China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Shijing China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tung-shih China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Weitou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chin-ching China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Yakou China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Gaoshan China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Shih-shih China  0.2
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Shantou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Guangao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Jiuzhen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Chihu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Huang-ch'i China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Shacheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Xiaguan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Pucheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:15 Balza Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:15 Buguey Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Yacheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Xinan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Hanjiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 San Shah China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Danmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Tokushima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Tsudacho Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Kagasuno Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Komatsushima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Akaishicho Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Tatsue Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Ochi Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Honoura Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Tachibana Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Tomikacho Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Nakashima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Kotashima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Anan Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Hsing-chuang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Hsia-k'ou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Xugou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Hanjiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Yuxi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Chiao-t'ou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Dongtaihezha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Haitou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Dongxi Liandao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Hsiao-yang-k'ou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Huangang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Chien-chen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Ch'ang-sha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Jiankangtang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Lipu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:15 Chien-t'iao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:15 San-chiao-t'ang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Aotou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Xindian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 An-ting Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ma-chiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Anhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Xucuo China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Gulangyu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Xiamen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Dianqian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Jiangtou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Hecuo China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Liuwudian China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Guoju China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Chung-tse China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Da'ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Nankan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Beikan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Lusi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Gongjiazhen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Dong'an China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Hsing-i-ts'un China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tanglugang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Yancangcheng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Jiuliqi China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Fotan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Gangwei China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Chen-hai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Daomei China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:45 Litang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tatsugahama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Karekawa Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Fuke Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Shimotsu Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Kominami Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Tannowa Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Wakayama Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Bode Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Kainan Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Shiqiao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Che-wang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Jindo Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Aenang-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Changdong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Anjong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Shih-ma-chuang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Touyan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Banping China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Bei'ao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Kanmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Baisha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Chenyu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Huanshan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Haicang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Songyu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 San Juan Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Fugu Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 04:00 Naguilian Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Donghong China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Jinghai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Haimen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 I-shan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Jinxiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Gexiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Gonzaga Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Miyazaki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Shimo-Tashima Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Niinauri Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Tachibandori Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Haruguchi Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Takanabe Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Uwae Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Sinsong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tongmokp Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Mongmal Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Sosan Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Songch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Anp'o Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Chungbang Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Chabong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Yeosu Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Chukp'o Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Lu-kang Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ching-shui Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 T'ai-hsi Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Sha-shan Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Wang-kung Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Ch'ao-yang-hsien China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Fenshui China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Andongwei China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Lanshantou China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Sangsin Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:30 Ch'angch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Shirasaki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Sumoto Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Yura Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Chin-ch'ing China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Songmen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Dinghai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ganlan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Dongsha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Gaoting China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Nanfeng China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Luomen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Changtu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Ta-chan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Liuduo China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Ta-yu-chien China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Shuangyangzha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Huangshagang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 T'ang-sheng-chiang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Dongxiaohai China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Xinyanggang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Ikkum-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Changgo Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Tengan-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Soko-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Ch'al-tong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Mogpo Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 P'i-dong Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Hepu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Chiu-nan-t'ien China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Shihphu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Hsin-p'u China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Wudongzha China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Chungjang Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Haksong-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Taechon-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Fu-hsin-tsao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Dong'anzhen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Haiyanzhen China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Donggangcun China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Xining China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Shangpan China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Sichalu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:45 Dahu China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Liulishe China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Liu-tsao China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Dongmun Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 P'u-t'o China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Akinokami Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Naruto Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Honjo Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Ch'ang-chieh China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:30 Dingtang China  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Hai huang Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Yuan-li Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:15 Tung-hsiao Taiwan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Hangch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Ishigaki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Fubai Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Bawa Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Cabiraoan Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Casambalangan Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 San Vincente Philippines  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Yuki Japan  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:45 Abe Japan  0.1