Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARINA-20
Off-shore
12 Sep 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 305 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.4 m 773 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico9,442 
50-100 mmMexico210,711 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2020 12:00 554 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
12 Sep 2020 19:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
12 Sep 2020 20:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 20:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 20:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 21:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 21:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 21:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 23:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 23:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 20:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 19:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 20:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 19:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 21:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 20:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
13 Sep 2020 00:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2020 18:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 20:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 20:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 15:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 15:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 18:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 20:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 18:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 18:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 23:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 23:45 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 18:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 17:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 17:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 18:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 15:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 18:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 18:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 15:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2020 19:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1