Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Russia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (28 Sep 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.8 m 79 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 329 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

140 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia110 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 26 Sep 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 2 27 Sep 2020 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 3 27 Sep 2020 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 5 27 Sep 2020 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Sep 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Sep 2020 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 8 28 Sep 2020 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Russia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 26 Sep 2020 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Sep 2020 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Sep 2020 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 27 Sep 2020 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Sep 2020 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Sep 2020 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Sep 2020 12:00 320 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Onirusu, Russia. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2020 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Onirusu Russia  0.8
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Protochnaya Russia  0.8
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Golovnino Russia  0.8
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Alekhino Russia  0.8
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Danilovo Russia  0.8
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Oshiusu Russia  0.8
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.8
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Svetloye Japan  0.8
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.8
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Nemuro Japan  0.8
30 Sep 2020 05:15 Tokotan Japan  0.7
30 Sep 2020 05:15 Bekkai Japan  0.7
30 Sep 2020 05:15 Odaito Japan  0.7
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.6
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Nakanokotan Russia  0.6
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Medelevo Russia  0.6
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Goryachiy Russia  0.6
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.6
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Churuigenya Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Kumbetsu Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.5
29 Sep 2020 22:15 Shibetsu Japan  0.5
30 Sep 2020 04:30 Tomoshiri Japan  0.5
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Higashirucharu Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Parusnoye Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Malaya Rechka Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Il'inka Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Nazarovo Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Gavrilovka Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Grigor'yevo Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Kunashiri Russia  0.5
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Krutenki Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 14:15 Tyatino Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 12:30 Reydovo Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 12:30 Rokubanchi Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 14:00 Mysovoye Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 14:00 Rudnaya Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 04:15 Hikiushi Japan  0.4
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Shamambe Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 13:15 Nassafu Japan  0.4
28 Sep 2020 13:15 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 14:00 Gordeyevka Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 04:15 Ruchi Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 14:00 Kruglovo Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Sokitani Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Slavnoye Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 18:45 Anama Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 18:45 Kekkyowan Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 18:45 Shikotan Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 18:45 Kambaraiso Russia  0.4
28 Sep 2020 14:00 Ptichye Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 17:45 Aitomari Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Osenniy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Otlivnyy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Zolotoy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Chikkaporo Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Kasatka Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 15:15 Rausu Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Tayezhnyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Lesozavodskiy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Dobroye Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Odesskiy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Mataruzaru Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Selivanovka Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Sunahama Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Pontokomoi Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Kamenka Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Kitaura Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Nishimae Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Tokkariiso Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Kafenotsu Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:00 Kraternyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Sopochnyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Kitoboynyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Kostochko Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Podgornyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Kurilsk Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Yanketo Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Kitovyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Matoiso Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:30 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Rybaki Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Chippuporo Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:30 Sasirui Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:45 Medvezhye Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Zeikomae Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Akiajiba Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Chipputomari Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Utoro Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:00 Kompaneysk Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:00 Ryabinovka Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:00 Kastrikum Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:30 Astaurova Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:30 Tokkarimui Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Rebaushi Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Kobukarikotan Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:30 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:15 Mammae Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 12:15 Okeanskiy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 14:00 Masuba Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Neskuchnoye Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Moraito Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Kombuusu Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Ayvazovskoye Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Hamanaka Japan  0.3
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Kiritappu Japan  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:15 Iodnyy Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:15 Nov' Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:15 Mysovaya Russia  0.3
28 Sep 2020 13:15 Rokko Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Berezovka Russia  0.2
28 Sep 2020 13:45 Riyaushi Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Barrigada Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Oceanview Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Dededo Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 South Acres Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Asbeco Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Adacao Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Ipapao Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Upi Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Gayinero Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Asatdas Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Lupog Guam  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Mo-chirippu Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:30 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Itoizawa Japan  0.2
28 Sep 2020 13:15 Aleutka Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Akkeshi Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Shinryu Japan  0.2