Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NORBERT-20 Off-shore from 05 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2020 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NORBERT-20

Off-shore

07 Oct 2020 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORBERT-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	58 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (07 Oct 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	58 km/h	0.2 m	124 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	101 km/h	0.3 m	481 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	376	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	177	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	575	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Oct 2020 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Oct 2020 17:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2020 17:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 14:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 14:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 17:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:45	Coronado	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:45	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:45	Boal	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:45	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 17:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 17:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 15:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 15:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2020 16:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.