Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NORBERT-20 Off-shore from 05 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2020 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NORBERT-20

Off-shore

08 Oct 2020 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORBERT-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (08 Oct 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	50 km/h	0.2 m	59 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	101 km/h	0.3 m	481 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	07 Oct 2020 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	08 Oct 2020 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	376	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	177	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	07 Oct 2020 18:00	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	08 Oct 2020 00:00	860	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Oct 2020 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2020 01:45	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2020 03:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2020 03:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2020 04:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2020 04:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 03:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 03:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 03:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 03:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 03:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 06:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	Coronado	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	Boal	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 00:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 00:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 00:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 05:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:15	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 06:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 03:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 01:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 01:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 06:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 06:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 00:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:00	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:00	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:00	San Diego	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 00:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 00:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 01:45	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 03:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 00:45	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 04:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:15	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:15	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2020 02:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.