Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NORBERT-20 Off-shore from 05 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2020 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NORBERT-20

Off-shore

09 Oct 2020 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORBERT-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (09 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	54 km/h	0.2 m	268 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	101 km/h	0.3 m	481 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	07 Oct 2020 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	08 Oct 2020 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	08 Oct 2020 06:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	08 Oct 2020 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	08 Oct 2020 18:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	09 Oct 2020 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	376	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	177	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	07 Oct 2020 18:00	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	08 Oct 2020 00:00	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	08 Oct 2020 06:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	08 Oct 2020 12:00	325	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	08 Oct 2020 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	09 Oct 2020 00:00	547	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Oct 2020 00:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 03:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 00:30	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 03:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 05:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 02:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 01:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 00:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:45	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 01:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 00:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 01:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 01:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:15	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 05:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:00	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 03:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 04:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 02:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.