Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ZETA-20
in United States, Mexico, Cuba

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ZETA-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (24 Oct 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 176 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 122 km/h 1.7 m 648 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

122 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico219 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Oct 2020 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico, Jamaica, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia941,263
+
United States21,959 
Cuba257,511 
Mexico166,726 
Jamaica5,006 
Honduras200,067 
Guatemala87,729 
Nicaragua105,610 
Colombia150 
Costa Rica96,505 
50-100 mmUnited States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Mexico, Cayman Islands, Haiti, Jamaica, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica17,736,635
+
United States8,439,877 
The Bahamas27,811 
Cuba2,431,375 
Mexico1,443,289 
Cayman Islands54,914 
Haiti550 
Jamaica687,745 
Honduras445,924 
Guatemala2,114,141 
Nicaragua777,386 
El Salvador888,890 
Colombia79,079 
Venezuela12,442 
Costa Rica333,212 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2020 00:00 247 20 thousand
- - - - United States, Cuba, Guatemala, Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 24 Oct 2020 12:00 440 940 thousand
- - - - United States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Mexico, Cayman Islands, Haiti, Jamaica, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Murad, United States. This height is estimated for 24 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Murad United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Fripp Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Salvesbarg Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Bolon Hall Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Copp Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Riverdale United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Pinckney Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Laurel Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Broad River Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Shell Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Burton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Seabrook Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Battery Marina Village United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Hilton Head Plantation United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Gator Field United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Parris Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Port Royal United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Fort Fremont United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Kanko Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Raya Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Clubki Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Surf United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Panacea United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Medart United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Skipper United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Live Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Wakulla Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Saint Marks United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:15 Port Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:45 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:45 City Arroyo United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Buena Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Set Net Nicaragua  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Kaski Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Dapat Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Canco Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 14:45 Hyde Park United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 14:45 Newport United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 14:45 Plum Orchard United States  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Limera Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Balfate Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 15:00 Uhi Honduras  0.2
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 15:45 Claura Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:45 El Toas Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:45 San Carlos Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Spanish Wells United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Bay Pines United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Hickory Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Hilton Head Island United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Long Cove Plantation United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Bram Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Palmetto Dunes United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Folly Field United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Scott United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Longwood United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Frogmore United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Jumop Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Calinatay Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Molomana Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Sichipes Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 La Gloria Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Pararu Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Neima Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Cojua Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Guichep Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Jautaipanou Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Jasav Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Uluimana Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Gualipana Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Cojoro Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:15 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:15 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Victoria Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Campamento Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 La Punta Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Palachuou Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Sumner United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Port Inglis United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Yankeetown United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:00 Chipepte Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Ozello United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Homosassa United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Crystal River United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Paradise Point United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Cutlers United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Chassahowitzka United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Juruba Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Yent Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Carrabelle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Lanark Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Caraipia Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Paijana Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 16:15 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 16:15 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Potchoure Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Majana Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Franklin United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Apalachicola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Eastpoint United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Cuzi Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 17:45 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 17:45 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:15 Mandalay United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 17:45 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:30 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 El Bluff Nicaragua  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Baru Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Pendales Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Porto Nao Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Polonia Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Santa Ana Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Ararca Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Cano de Loro Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Pasacaballo Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Leticia Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Caserio El Cobado Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Cobado Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:45 Puerto Cospique Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:45 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Sapelo Island United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:15 Raccoon Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Cozumel Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Punta Molas del Norte Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Morchipa Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:00 Parsua Venezuela  0.1
24 Oct 2020 23:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 15:00 Tilton United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:45 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Cuero Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
25 Oct 2020 00:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:15 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 20:15 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:45 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:45 Nine Mile United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:00 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:00 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:00 Buena Vista Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:00 Fruta de Pan Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:30 Progreso Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 17:30 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 17:30 Guaguri Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 17:30 Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:30 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:00 New Haven Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Miranda Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Betulia Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:15 Dekle Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:15 Keaton Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:15 Fish Creek United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Shore Acres United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Town 'n' Country United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Gulf City United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Apollo Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Palm United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Adamsville United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:15 Gibsonton United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Indian Pass United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:30 Odena United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Huarta Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 13:30 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Majahual Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2020 18:15 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Fort Lonely United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Valroy United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 22:00 Sun City United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 21:45 Thomas Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 12:15 Baranca Belize  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:00 Big Pine Key United States  0.1
24 Oct 2020 14:00 Big Pine United States  0.1