Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for THREE-21 in Philippines from 12 May 2021 18:00 UTC to 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-21

in Philippines

14 May 2021 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (15 May 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	47 km/h	0.2 m	102 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	40 km/h	0.3 m	180 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

40 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	12 May 2021 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 May 2021 12:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 May 2021 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 May 2021 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	14 May 2021 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 May 2021 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Malaysia	87,681
50-100 mm	Philippines, Malaysia, Palau, Brunei	702,831	+
	Philippines	302,286
	Malaysia	397,216
	Palau	95
	Brunei	3,231

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 May 2021 00:00	100	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines, Malaysia
2	12 May 2021 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 May 2021 00:00	220	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines
4	13 May 2021 12:00	117	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Malaysia
5	14 May 2021 00:00	138	360 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines
6	14 May 2021 12:00	168	90 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Malaysia, Palau, Brunei

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Pag-aguasan, Philippines. This height is estimated for 15 May 2021 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 May 2021 00:30	Pag-aguasan	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Concepcion	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Alabat	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Mascarina	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Apad	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Gumaca	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Argosino	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Lopez	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Talingting	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Calauag	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Sipitang	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kampong Suasa	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Mesapol	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Weston	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Atimonan	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:30	Calaguikhik	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Victoria	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kpg Menumbok	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kampong Lambidan	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kpg Manggis	Malaysia	0.2
	15 May 2021 05:45	Kpg Ganggarak	Malaysia	0.2
	17 May 2021 10:15	Mandurriao	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 10:15	Iloilo	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 10:15	Jordan	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 10:15	Jaro	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 10:15	Avila	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 10:15	Valencia	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 10:15	Talisay	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Perez	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Cavilla	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kpg Mansud	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:45	Paracale	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:45	Vinzons	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:45	Daet	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:45	Talaga	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:45	Tagontong	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:45	Mambongalon	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Bago	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Pangi	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Pequeno	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Davao	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Kumonal	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Lasang	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Limao	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Panabo	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Basao	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Samal	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Tagbitanag	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:30	Aumbay	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 05:00	Pekan Muara	Brunei Darussalam	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	San Jose	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:15	Anilao	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:15	Banate	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:15	Barotac Viejo	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:15	Silay	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Barcelona	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Pulupandan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Bonongan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Carigmalan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Molpok	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Bataguanan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Bulalacao	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:15	Calamias	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Taytay	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Igan Barrio	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	San Jose	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Calauag	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Bantulan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Culasian	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Kumbatang	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Langkon	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Kampong Radus	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Tandek	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Taritapan	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Kpg Mempakad	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 09:00	Sum-ag	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 09:00	Bacolod	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 09:00	Talisay	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 09:00	Calaya	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Capuluan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Buenavista	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Hiwasayan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Tagkawayan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Catabanga	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Capayas	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Danleg	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Santa Teresita	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Dumaran	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Bacao	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Bebeladan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	El Nido	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Camago	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Manlalec	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Barotuan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Oton	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Palalong	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Sibaltan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Maytiguid	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Batas	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Pinamalayan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Damaloguen	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Bugallon	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Baloboc	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Maniboc	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Binmale	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Canaoalan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Carael	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Dagupan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Bateng	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Alacan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Pancol	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Palarican	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 09:00	Saravia	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 06:45	Pandasan	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 06:45	Maco	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 06:45	Tibagon	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 06:45	Pantukan	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Macalonud	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Wright	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Calbiga	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Salay	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Pequit	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Pabanong	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Hinabangan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:15	Mauban	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:30	Barana	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:30	Miguel	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 23:30	Kampong Madang Pimping	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 23:30	Bongawan	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 23:30	Kimania	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 23:30	Kampong Java	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 23:30	Papar	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:45	Liboro	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 20:45	Culasi	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:15	Madoldolon	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:15	Banglen	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:15	Taloto	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:15	Bohol	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Estado	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Victorias	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Barceloneta	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Mandao	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Fundado	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Karigsa	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Calabanga	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Magtang	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Lamon	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Union	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Tinambac	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:15	Kudat	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 17:15	Roxas	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 17:15	Pontevedra	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Kuala Penyu	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Binsulok	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Casian	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.