Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-21
in Philippines
15 May 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 40 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 May 11:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 40 km/h 0.6 m 102 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 40 km/h 0.6 m 102 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

40 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 May 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 May 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 May 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 May 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 May 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 14 May 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 May 2021 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 May 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 May 2021 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 15 May 2021 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPhilippines40 
50-100 mmPhilippines8,411 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 May 2021 18:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 May 2021 00:00 163 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 3 13 May 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 May 2021 12:00 169 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 13 May 2021 18:00 113 2 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 14 May 2021 00:00 115 9 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 7 14 May 2021 06:00 177 150 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 8 14 May 2021 12:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 May 2021 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 15 May 2021 00:00 102 Few people
- - - - Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Pag-aguasan, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 May 2021 11:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2021 11:30 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Concepcion Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Alabat Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Mascarina Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Apad Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Gumaca Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Argosino Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Lopez Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Talingting Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Calauag Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Atimonan Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Perez Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 Cavilla Philippines  0.3
16 May 2021 11:30 San Jose Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 11:30 Calamias Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 11:30 Mauban Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 16:30 Paracale Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 16:30 Vinzons Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 16:30 Daet Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 16:30 Talaga Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 16:30 Tagontong Philippines  0.2
15 May 2021 16:30 Mambongalon Philippines  0.2
16 May 2021 22:00 Mandurriao Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 22:00 Iloilo Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 22:00 Jordan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 22:00 Jaro Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 22:00 Avila Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 22:00 Valencia Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 22:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 16:15 Barana Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 16:15 Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Tarawaken Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Malaka Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Bakung Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 00:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 09:15 Sipitang Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 09:15 Kampong Suasa Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 09:15 Mesapol Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 09:15 Weston Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Bago Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Pangi Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Pequeno Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Davao Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Kumonal Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Lasang Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Limao Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Panabo Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Basao Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Samal Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Tagbitanag Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Aumbay Philippines  0.1
17 May 2021 04:15 Caluekan Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 20:00 Anilao Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 20:00 Banate Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 20:00 Barotac Viejo Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 20:00 Silay Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 03:30 Mapid Philippines  0.1
16 May 2021 04:15 Binsulok Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:15 Kampong Madang Pimping Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:15 Bongawan Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:15 Kimania Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:15 Kampong Java Malaysia  0.1
16 May 2021 04:15 Papar Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 03:15 Balaton Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 03:15 Garchitorena Philippines  0.1
15 May 2021 21:30 Kumbatang Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 21:30 Langkon Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 21:30 Kampong Radus Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 21:30 Tandek Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 21:30 Taritapan Malaysia  0.1
15 May 2021 21:30 Kpg Mempakad Malaysia  0.1