Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (18 Jun 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.4 m 232 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 83 km/h 0.9 m 338 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico25,042
+
United States1,024 
Mexico24,018 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jun 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 00:00 97 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico36,517 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala4,211,813
+
United States545,383 
Mexico3,666,416 
Guatemala13 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador6,903,803
+
United States383,090 
Mexico5,930,126 
Guatemala554,306 
Honduras35,331 
El Salvador948 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jun 2021 12:00 264 10 thousand
- - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 00:00 418 4.2 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 18 Jun 2021 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jun 2021 09:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
18 Jun 2021 09:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 09:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 09:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 09:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 06:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Happy Jack United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Potash United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Hesperides United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 11:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 08:30 Sabine United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 08:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Galveston United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Smith Point United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Flake United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Patton United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Caplen United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 05:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 09:00 High Island United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 06:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 08:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 10:30 Oak Island United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 English Lookout United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Ansley United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Bayside Park United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Lakeshore United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Shoreline Park United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Waveland United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Bay St Louis United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Henderson Point United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Pass Christian United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Mims United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Hoskins United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Port Morris United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Sea Isle United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 01:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 10:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 08:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Nadeau United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Texas City United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Virginia Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Nairn United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Empire United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Sunrise United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Buras United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Neptune United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Boothville United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Duvic United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 08:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 08:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:15 Salinas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:15 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Indianola United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Olivia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Freeport United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Quintana United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Surfside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Little Woods United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 South Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Martello Castle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Chef Menteur United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Greens Ditch United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Fort Pike United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Lake Catherine United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Shell Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Alluvial City United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Yscloskey United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Riolets United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Cuevas United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 White Harbor United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Long Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:15 Cameron United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 City Arroyo United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 00:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Bayside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Estes United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Port Aransas United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Rockport United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Fulton United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Cocodrie United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 North Shore Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 North Shore United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Eden Isle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Howze Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 White Kitchen United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 North Side United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Jackson Landing United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 04:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 04:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 North Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 Doyle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 Portland United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 07:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:00 Palacios United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 09:30 Saint Malo United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Kemah United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Todville United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Bayview United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Bacliff United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 San Leon United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 06:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 03:15 Noham Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 03:15 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 03:15 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 04:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 03:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 10:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 05:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 04:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1