Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUILLERMO-21
Off-shore
17 Jul 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GUILLERMO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (18 Jul 01:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 83 km/h 0.3 m 130 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 104 km/h 0.4 m 551 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

104 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jul 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jul 2021 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jul 2021 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jul 2021 18:00 354 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 18 Jul 2021 01:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jul 2021 01:30 San Jose Mexico  0.3
18 Jul 2021 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
18 Jul 2021 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 11:30 San Blas Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
18 Jul 2021 04:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
18 Jul 2021 04:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2021 23:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 12:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 23:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 23:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
19 Jul 2021 23:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
18 Jul 2021 01:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 01:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 01:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 23:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 23:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 13:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 00:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 00:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 23:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 23:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 19:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 03:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 22:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 12:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 03:15 Joluta Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 23:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 04:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 00:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 01:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 23:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 23:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 00:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Corrales Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 11:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 00:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 00:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 22:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 22:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 22:00 Chula Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:15 El Real Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:15 Apisa Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 22:15 Cunano Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2021 22:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 00:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 01:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 12:00 Chamela Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 11:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 22:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:30 Chola Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 23:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 08:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 13:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 05:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 11:45 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
18 Jul 2021 03:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
20 Jul 2021 12:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
19 Jul 2021 22:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 00:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 13:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 12:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
18 Jul 2021 14:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
19 Jul 2021 23:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 11:45 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 00:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
19 Jul 2021 12:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
20 Jul 2021 12:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1