Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
24 Oct 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico, United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Oct 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.3 m 186 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico, United States106,803
+
Mexico106,798 
United States05 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

471 mm

Up to 420 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico423,718 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico560,214
+
United States1,589 
Mexico558,624 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 664 420 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2021 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2021 20:45 La Choya Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Galveston United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Constance Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:00 Anahuac United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Cameron United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 High Island United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 00:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Sixmile United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Point Comfort United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Olivia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Weedhaven United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Port Alto United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 09:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Estes United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Rockport United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Copano Village United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Fulton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 22:30 Lamar United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Joluta Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Palacios United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Hitchcock United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 23:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Gregory United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Austwell United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 17:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 16:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 06:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 21:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 02:15 Calvario Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 03:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 09:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 09:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 09:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 20:30 City Arroyo United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 20:30 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 20:30 Buena Vista United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Quintana United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Surfside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Mims United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 22:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 22:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 22:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1