Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CARLOTTA-18
in Mexico
16 Jun 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CARLOTTA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 63 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Jun 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 63 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 47 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

47 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jun 2018 00:00 66 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jun 2018 12:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Jun 2018 00:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jun 2018 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Jun 2018 00:00 63 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jun 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jun 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Jun 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jun 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Jun 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Santa Cruz, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Jun 2018 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jun 2018 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2018 10:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2018 10:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2018 02:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2018 02:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2018 09:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2018 09:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2018 02:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
17 Jun 2018 18:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 01:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 01:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 17:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 18:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 18:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 01:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2018 09:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2018 09:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 02:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 20:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 01:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2018 20:30 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
18 Jun 2018 20:30 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
18 Jun 2018 20:30 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
18 Jun 2018 20:30 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2018 03:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 03:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 03:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 03:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 03:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 03:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 14:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 14:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 06:30 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 06:30 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 07:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 14:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 14:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 06:45 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 15:30 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2018 15:30 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
16 Jun 2018 15:30 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2018 01:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 01:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2018 21:30 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
18 Jun 2018 21:30 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
17 Jun 2018 18:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 18:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 14:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 07:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 17:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 17:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 21:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1