Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELEVEN-18
Off-shore
22 Sep 2018 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELEVEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 55 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (24 Sep 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 55 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 105 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

105 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2018 00:00 41 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2018 06:00 46 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2018 12:00 55 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Mision San Francisco de Guayo, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2018 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Sep 2018 03:30 Mision San Francisco de Guayo Venezuela  0.2
24 Sep 2018 03:30 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.2
24 Sep 2018 03:30 Jotajana Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:15 Carupano Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:15 Puerto Santo Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:15 Rio Caribe Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Agua Fria Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Coromandel Settlement Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Chatham Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 San Francique Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Los Bajos Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
25 Sep 2018 02:15 Irapa Venezuela  0.2
25 Sep 2018 02:15 Soro Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Irois Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Point Fortin Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:45 San Juan de las Galdonas Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 17:30 Morne Diablo Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:45 San Juan Venezuela  0.2
22 Sep 2018 18:30 Unare Venezuela  0.1
22 Sep 2018 17:00 Palencho Venezuela  0.1
22 Sep 2018 17:30 La Lune Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Corriverton Suriname  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Nieuw Nickerie Suriname  0.1
22 Sep 2018 13:45 Puerto Escondido Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 07:45 La Linea Venezuela  0.1
23 Sep 2018 01:45 Remire French Guiana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 01:45 Montjoly French Guiana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Brighton Guyana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Goldspie Guyana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Number Forty-six Guyana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Leeds Guyana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 07:15 Hackney Guyana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 07:15 Marlborough Guyana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 22:45 Soburojo Venezuela  0.1
25 Sep 2018 01:45 Guiria Venezuela  0.1
25 Sep 2018 01:45 Puerto de Hierro Venezuela  0.1
22 Sep 2018 22:00 Rosehall Guyana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 22:00 Tarlogie Farm Guyana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:30 Burnside Suriname  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:00 Totness Suriname  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:00 Hamilton Suriname  0.1
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Fyrish Guyana  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Parry Lands Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Plaisance Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 California Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 San Fernando Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Carapichaima Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
22 Sep 2018 18:45 Hermitage Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
23 Sep 2018 02:00 Trou Poisson French Guiana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 02:00 Roche Brigandin French Guiana  0.1
23 Sep 2018 02:00 Sinnamary French Guiana  0.1