Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANDRES-21
Off-shore
09 May 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANDRES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 May 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 211 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.3 m 260 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 May 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2021 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico616,978 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2021 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2021 12:00 369 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 May 2021 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 May 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 May 2021 12:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
09 May 2021 12:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
09 May 2021 12:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
11 May 2021 04:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 04:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 10:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 12:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 12:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 12:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 02:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 14:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 14:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 05:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 14:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 14:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 14:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1