Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANDRES-21
Off-shore
11 May 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANDRES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (10 May 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.6 m 676 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 94 km/h 0.6 m 676 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 May 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 May 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 May 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 May 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 May 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2021 06:00 440 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2021 12:00 366 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2021 18:00 489 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2021 00:00 275 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 May 2021 06:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 May 2021 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 May 2021 18:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 May 2021 00:00 15 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 May 2021 06:00 376 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 May 2021 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2021 11:00 Datilito Mexico  0.6
10 May 2021 11:00 La Paz Mexico  0.6
10 May 2021 11:00 Rosario Mexico  0.6
11 May 2021 04:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.4
11 May 2021 04:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.4
10 May 2021 05:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.3
10 May 2021 10:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
10 May 2021 10:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
10 May 2021 10:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
11 May 2021 08:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 08:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 10:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
12 May 2021 07:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
12 May 2021 07:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
12 May 2021 07:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 14:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 14:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 23:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 23:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 08:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 08:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 12:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 12:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 10:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
12 May 2021 03:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 02:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 10:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 21:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 21:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
13 May 2021 11:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
13 May 2021 11:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
13 May 2021 11:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
13 May 2021 11:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
12 May 2021 11:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
12 May 2021 13:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 14:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 14:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 21:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 21:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 21:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 21:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 10:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 21:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 21:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 19:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 13:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 13:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 08:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 08:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 16:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 16:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 16:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1