Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ANDRES-21 Off-shore from 09 May 2021 09:00 UTC to 11 May 2021 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANDRES-21

Off-shore

10 May 2021 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANDRES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (10 May 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	65 km/h	0.6 m	307 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	94 km/h	0.6 m	676 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	09 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2021 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2021 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2021 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	09 May 2021 06:00	440	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2021 12:00	366	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2021 18:00	489	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2021 00:00	275	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2021 06:00	323	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 May 2021 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 May 2021 11:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.6
	10 May 2021 11:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.6
	10 May 2021 11:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.6
	11 May 2021 04:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.4
	11 May 2021 04:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.4
	10 May 2021 10:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.3
	10 May 2021 10:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.3
	10 May 2021 10:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.3
	10 May 2021 11:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:15	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 07:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 07:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 19:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 02:45	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 20:15	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 20:15	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 20:15	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 20:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 15:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 15:30	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	12 May 2021 23:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	10 May 2021 10:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 13:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 13:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	12 May 2021 12:15	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	12 May 2021 12:15	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	12 May 2021 12:15	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 10:45	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 14:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 14:00	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 14:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 10:30	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 10:30	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 19:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 19:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 20:30	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 15:15	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 15:15	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	12 May 2021 23:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	12 May 2021 23:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 10:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	10 May 2021 10:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.