Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANDRES-21
Off-shore
12 May 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANDRES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (10 May 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 260 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.3 m 260 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2021 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2021 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 May 2021 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 May 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 May 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 May 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 May 2021 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 11 May 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 May 2021 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 12 May 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 May 2021 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico10,777 
50-100 mmMexico2,070,701 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2021 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2021 12:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2021 18:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2021 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 May 2021 06:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 May 2021 12:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 May 2021 18:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 May 2021 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 May 2021 06:00 33 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 May 2021 12:00 20 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 May 2021 18:00 49 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 12 May 2021 00:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 May 2021 06:00 260 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 May 2021 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 May 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2021 03:15 Datilito Mexico  0.3
10 May 2021 03:15 La Paz Mexico  0.3
10 May 2021 03:15 Rosario Mexico  0.3
11 May 2021 04:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 04:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 10:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 12:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
09 May 2021 12:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
10 May 2021 15:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
11 May 2021 09:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 09:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 08:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 02:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
10 May 2021 15:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 08:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 08:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
11 May 2021 08:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
12 May 2021 21:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
12 May 2021 21:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
09 May 2021 17:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1