Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for THREE-21 in Philippines from 12 May 2021 18:00 UTC to 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-21

in Philippines

14 May 2021 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	43 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (14 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	43 km/h	0.4 m	103 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	43 km/h	0.6 m	195 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

43 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	12 May 2021 18:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 May 2021 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 May 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 May 2021 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 May 2021 18:00	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 May 2021 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	14 May 2021 06:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Philippines	79,433
50-100 mm	Philippines, Palau, Malaysia, Brunei	3,765,700	+
	Philippines	3,210,531
	Palau	1,017
	Malaysia	250,541
	Brunei	303,609

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 May 2021 18:00	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 May 2021 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 May 2021 06:00	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 May 2021 12:00	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 May 2021 18:00	95	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines
6	14 May 2021 00:00	59	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines
7	14 May 2021 06:00	122	80 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Palau, Malaysia, Brunei

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Pag-aguasan, Philippines. This height is estimated for 14 May 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 May 2021 18:00	Pag-aguasan	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Concepcion	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Alabat	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Mascarina	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Apad	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Gumaca	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Argosino	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Lopez	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Talingting	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Calauag	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Atimonan	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Calaguikhik	Philippines	0.4
	14 May 2021 18:00	Perez	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 18:00	Cavilla	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 18:00	San Jose	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 18:00	Calamias	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 18:00	Mauban	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Paracale	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Vinzons	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Daet	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Talaga	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Tagontong	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Mambongalon	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 07:30	Kumbatang	Malaysia	0.2
	14 May 2021 07:30	Langkon	Malaysia	0.2
	14 May 2021 07:30	Kampong Radus	Malaysia	0.2
	14 May 2021 07:30	Tandek	Malaysia	0.2
	14 May 2021 07:30	Taritapan	Malaysia	0.2
	14 May 2021 07:30	Kpg Mempakad	Malaysia	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Barana	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 23:45	Miguel	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:45	Mandurriao	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:45	Iloilo	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:45	Jordan	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:45	Jaro	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:45	Avila	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:45	Valencia	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:45	Talisay	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 07:15	Kudat	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Barceloneta	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Mandao	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Fundado	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Karigsa	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Calabanga	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Magtang	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Lamon	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Union	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Tinambac	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Victoria	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Kpg Menumbok	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Kampong Lambidan	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Kpg Manggis	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 06:00	Telaga	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Caluekan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Sipitang	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Mesapol	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Weston	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Kampong Suasa	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:15	Kampong Kolapis	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:15	Kampong Samawang	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 06:00	Loro	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 06:00	Berungus	Malaysia	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Anilao	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Banate	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Barotac Viejo	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:00	Silay	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Kpg Ganggarak	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Tandoc	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Kpg Mansud	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Banacboc	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:15	San Vicente	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:15	Gongonan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Bebeladan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	El Nido	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Camago	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Manlalec	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Barotuan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Oton	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Palalong	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Sibaltan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Maytiguid	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Batas	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Pinamalayan	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 06:00	Tiga Tarok	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:45	Kpg Dundulit	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:30	Casian	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:15	Pandan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:15	Dipnay	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:15	Calibangbangan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:15	Pangas	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:15	Binauangan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:15	Mactang	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Polillo	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Bisliang	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Abucay	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Patnanongan	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:15	Barcelona	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:15	Pulupandan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Capalonga	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Calutcot	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Pekan Muara	Brunei Darussalam	0.1
	15 May 2021 13:15	Tarawaken	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 13:15	Malaka	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 13:15	Bakung	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Binsulok	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Kampong Madang Pimping	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Bongawan	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Kimania	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Kampong Java	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Papar	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:15	Jomalig	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:15	Mapid	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:15	Balaton	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:15	Garchitorena	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:45	Kampong Dandulit	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Kuala Penyu	Malaysia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.