Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for THREE-21 in Philippines from 12 May 2021 18:00 UTC to 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-21

in Philippines

14 May 2021 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (14 May 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	50 km/h	0.3 m	177 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	40 km/h	0.6 m	102 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

40 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	12 May 2021 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 May 2021 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 May 2021 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 May 2021 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 May 2021 18:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 May 2021 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	14 May 2021 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Malaysia	14,841
100-250 mm	Philippines, Malaysia	409,581	+
	Philippines	342,710
	Malaysia	66,870
50-100 mm	Philippines, Malaysia	1,667,308	+
	Philippines	1,492,277
	Malaysia	175,031

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 May 2021 18:00	276	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 May 2021 00:00	163	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines
3	13 May 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 May 2021 12:00	169	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines
5	13 May 2021 18:00	113	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines
6	14 May 2021 00:00	115	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines
7	14 May 2021 06:00	813	420 thousand				-	-	-	Philippines, Malaysia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Pag-aguasan, Philippines. This height is estimated for 14 May 2021 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 May 2021 17:45	Pag-aguasan	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Concepcion	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Alabat	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Mascarina	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Apad	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Gumaca	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Argosino	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Lopez	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Talingting	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Calauag	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Atimonan	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Calaguikhik	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:30	Perez	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:30	Cavilla	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:30	San Jose	Philippines	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:45	Calamias	Philippines	0.2
	14 May 2021 17:45	Mauban	Philippines	0.2
	15 May 2021 12:45	Paracale	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Vinzons	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Daet	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Talaga	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Tagontong	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Mambongalon	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:00	Mandurriao	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:00	Iloilo	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:00	Jordan	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:00	Jaro	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:00	Avila	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:00	Valencia	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:00	Talisay	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:30	Bonongan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:30	Carigmalan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:30	Molpok	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:30	Bataguanan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:30	Bulalacao	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Tarawaken	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Malaka	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:45	Bakung	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Sipitang	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Kampong Suasa	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Mesapol	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Weston	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Victoria	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Kpg Menumbok	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Kampong Lambidan	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Kpg Manggis	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:15	Kampong Kolapis	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:15	Kampong Samawang	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Caluekan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Kpg Ganggarak	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Kumbatang	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Langkon	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Kampong Radus	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Tandek	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Taritapan	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 08:30	Kpg Mempakad	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Bebeladan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	El Nido	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Camago	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Manlalec	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Barotuan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Oton	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Palalong	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Sibaltan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Maytiguid	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Batas	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Pinamalayan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Casian	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:00	Barana	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:00	Miguel	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Kpg Mansud	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Pekan Muara	Brunei Darussalam	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Barceloneta	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Mandao	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Fundado	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Karigsa	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Calabanga	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Magtang	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Lamon	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Union	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:00	Tinambac	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Binsulok	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Kampong Madang Pimping	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Bongawan	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Kimania	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Kampong Java	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Papar	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:15	Kuala Penyu	Malaysia	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Anilao	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Banate	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Barotac Viejo	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Silay	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Taytay	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Igan Barrio	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	San Jose	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Calauag	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Bantulan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Culasian	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Capayas	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Danleg	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Santa Teresita	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Dumaran	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Bacao	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Pangas	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Binauangan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Mactang	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 06:00	Capalonga	Philippines	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:00	Kudat	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:30	Polillo	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:30	Bisliang	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:30	Abucay	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:30	Calutcot	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:30	Patnanongan	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:15	Pancol	Philippines	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:15	Palarican	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Bago	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Pangi	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Pequeno	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Davao	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Kumonal	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Lasang	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Limao	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Panabo	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Basao	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Samal	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Tagbitanag	Philippines	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:45	Aumbay	Philippines	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:15	Kampong Baharu	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:15	Kampong Gaya	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:15	Kota Kinabalu	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:15	Kampong Nounton	Malaysia	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:15	Kampong Rampayan	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Bundu	Malaysia	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kampong Kekansa	Malaysia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.