Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico
18 Jun 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (18 Jun 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.4 m 162 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.8 m 381 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico23,917
+
United States20,075 
Mexico3,841 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 104 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmUnited States, Mexico1,737,638
+
United States276,911 
Mexico1,460,726 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico2,291,237
+
United States698,747 
Mexico1,592,490 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador5,876,419
+
United States203,045 
Mexico3,822,019 
Guatemala1,469,413 
El Salvador381,941 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 465 4 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Henderson Point, United States. This height is estimated for 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Henderson Point United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 De Lisle United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Pass Christian United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Cuevas United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 White Harbor United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Long Beach United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Gulfport United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Mississippi City United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Handsboro United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Loraine United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Wool Market United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Edgewater Park United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Beauvoir United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bay St Louis United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 English Lookout United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Ansley United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bayside Park United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Lakeshore United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Shoreline Park United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Waveland United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Cedar Lake United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Biloxi United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 D'Iberville United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Saint Martin United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 14:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Ocean Springs United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Gulf Hills United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 14:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 14:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 13:45 La Choya Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Hilda United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Gautier United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Pascagoula United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Moss Point United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Coden United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:15 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:15 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:15 Grand Isle United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Hesperides United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Nairn United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Empire United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Buras United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Ostrica United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Neptune United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Boothville United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Duvic United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Nelson United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Delchamps United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Heron Bay United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Alabama Port United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Mon Louis United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bellefontaine United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 12:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 West Point United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Breton United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:30 Port Eads United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:30 South Pass United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 16:45 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 14:30 Cocodrie United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 15:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 15:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Little Woods United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 South Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Martello Castle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Chef Menteur United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Greens Ditch United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Fort Pike United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Lake Catherine United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Shell Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Alluvial City United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Yscloskey United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Riolets United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Happy Jack United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Potash United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:45 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 15:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 15:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Galveston United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Smith Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Flake United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Patton United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Caplen United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Mims United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 High Island United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 12:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 17:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 15:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 15:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 15:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 17:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 17:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1