Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Jun 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 107 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.8 m 381 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 1.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico1,916,657
+
United States708,469 
Mexico1,208,187 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 90 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico120,557
+
United States04 
Mexico120,552 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador12,486,279
+
United States106,281 
Mexico10,142,370 
Guatemala1,227,494 
Honduras30,786 
El Salvador979,347 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 162 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 200 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 128 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 148 130 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 173 160 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 224 120 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Jun 2021 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:30 Maudlowe United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:30 Tivoli United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:30 Austwell United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:30 Green Lake United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:30 North Seadrift United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:30 Long Mott United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:30 Seadrift United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Nelson United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Dauphin Island United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Delchamps United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Heron Bay United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Alabama Port United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Bayleys Corner United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Mon Louis United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Bellefontaine United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Fort Gaines United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Fort Morgan United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 10:30 Spanish Village United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 21:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 21:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2021 22:30 Fivemile Oaks United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Weeks United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Louisa United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Ivanhoe United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Florence United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Freetown United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Gordy United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 South Bend United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Burns United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 00:00 Ellerstie United States  0.3
22 Jun 2021 23:15 Campeche Mexico  0.3
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Neyac Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Point Comfort United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Indianola United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Olivia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Weedhaven United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Port Alto United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Valton Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Palacios United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Collegeport United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Simpsonville United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 10:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 05:45 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Champoton Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 01:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Hilda United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Gautier United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Pascagoula United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Moss Point United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 07:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Oak Grove United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Coden United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:30 Cameron United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Greens Ditch United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Fort Pike United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Lake Catherine United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Shell Beach United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Alluvial City United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Yscloskey United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Riolets United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 North Side United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Saint Malo United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Hopedale United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Ocean Springs United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Gulf Hills United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Chef Menteur United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 04:30 Pearlington United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 04:30 Jackson Landing United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 04:30 English Lookout United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 04:30 Ansley United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 04:30 Bayside Park United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 04:30 Lakeshore United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 04:30 Waveland United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 South Point United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Martello Castle United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 13:15 Intracoastal City United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 North Shore Beach United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 North Shore United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Eden Isle United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Howze Beach United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 White Kitchen United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 11:30 Cypremort Point United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Noham Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:30 Sabine United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Little Woods United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 D'Iberville United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 01:30 Saint Martin United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 North Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Doyle United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Peary Place United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Portland United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 23:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:30 Molino Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Bayside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Estes United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Port Aransas United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Rockport United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Copano Village United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 03:30 Fulton United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Gulfport United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Mississippi City United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Handsboro United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Loraine United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Wool Market United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Edgewater Park United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Beauvoir United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Cedar Lake United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Biloxi United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 05:45 Cocodrie United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Henderson Point United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 De Lisle United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Pass Christian United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Cuevas United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 White Harbor United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Long Beach United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Smith Point United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Flake United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Oak Island United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Elmgrove United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Patton United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Caplen United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:45 Gilchrist United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Happy Jack United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Potash United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 08:30 High Island United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 03:45 Gregory United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 City Arroyo United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:30 Galveston United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:30 Fort Travis United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Bay St Louis United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 Lamar United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Nadeau United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Texas City United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Virginia Point United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Mims United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 08:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 05:15 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 05:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 05:15 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 05:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 05:15 Yarborough United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:15 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:15 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:15 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 07:45 Hitchcock United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 11:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
22 Jun 2021 04:30 Laja Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 00:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 00:45 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 00:45 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 01:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 01:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 01:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:15 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:15 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 23:45 Shoreline Park United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 13:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 06:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 06:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 07:15 Agua El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 02:30 Nautla Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 21:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 01:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Hesperides United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 09:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 09:30 Kemah United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 09:30 Todville United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 09:30 Bayview United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 09:30 Bacliff United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 09:30 San Leon United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 00:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 05:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1