Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (20 Jun 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.4 m 41 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.8 m 381 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 2.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico2,150,151
+
United States460,953 
Mexico1,689,197 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 61 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 9 20 Jun 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Jun 2021 12:00 97 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico1,448 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador5,593,250
+
United States38,958 
Mexico3,196,187 
Guatemala2,139,497 
Honduras97,499 
El Salvador121,107 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 162 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 200 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 128 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 5 19 Jun 2021 06:00 148 130 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 6 19 Jun 2021 12:00 173 160 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 7 19 Jun 2021 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 20 Jun 2021 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 20 Jun 2021 06:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Jun 2021 12:00 276 1 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Fivemile Oaks, United States. This height is estimated for 20 Jun 2021 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Jun 2021 22:15 Fivemile Oaks United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Maudlowe United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Tivoli United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Austwell United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Green Lake United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 13:30 North Seadrift United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Long Mott United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 13:30 Seadrift United States  0.4
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 14:15 Spanish Village United States  0.3
20 Jun 2021 22:00 Gordy United States  0.3
20 Jun 2021 22:00 South Bend United States  0.3
20 Jun 2021 22:00 Burns United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2021 14:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
20 Jun 2021 14:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
21 Jun 2021 01:00 Weeks United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 01:00 Louisa United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 01:00 Ivanhoe United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 01:00 Florence United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 01:00 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 01:00 Freetown United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 01:00 Ellerstie United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
22 Jun 2021 09:30 Cypremort Point United States  0.3
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Point Comfort United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Indianola United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Olivia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Weedhaven United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Port Alto United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Carancahua United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:45 Palacios United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:45 Collegeport United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:45 Simpsonville United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 04:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 21:30 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 11:30 Intracoastal City United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Cameron United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Sabine United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Campeche Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 North Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Gardendale United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Doyle United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Orange Grove United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Peary Place United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Portland United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Ingleside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:15 Oak Grove United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Nelson United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Delchamps United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Heron Bay United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Alabama Port United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Mon Louis United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Bellefontaine United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Fort Gaines United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Fort Morgan United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Neyac Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Bayside United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Estes United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Port Aransas United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Rockport United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Copano Village United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:45 Fulton United States  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Valton Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:45 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 05:00 Cocodrie United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Champoton Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 02:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 06:30 Gregory United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Lamar United States  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:15 Noham Mexico  0.2
22 Jun 2021 22:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 19:15 Coden United States  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
23 Jun 2021 01:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 06:15 High Island United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:30 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 06:00 Caplen United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Hilda United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Gautier United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Pascagoula United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Moss Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Ocean Springs United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:30 Gulf Hills United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Smith Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Flake United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Oak Island United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Elmgrove United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Patton United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 07:15 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 14:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 22:30 Celestum Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 D'Iberville United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Saint Martin United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:45 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 01:45 Nautla Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Handsboro United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Loraine United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Wool Market United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Edgewater Park United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Beauvoir United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Cedar Lake United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Biloxi United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Gulfport United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Mississippi City United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 05:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 21:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Kilkare United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Lakeside United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 La Porte United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 El Lago United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Kemah United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Shoreacres United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Todville United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Bayview United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Red Bluff United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Seabrook United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Morgan Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Baytown United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Bacliff United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Pelly United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 San Leon United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Cedar Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:15 Beach City United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Nadeau United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Texas City United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Virginia Point United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Galveston United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 15:15 Fort Travis United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 10:30 Anahuac United States  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 02:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Pearlington United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 North Side United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Jackson Landing United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 English Lookout United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Ansley United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Bayside Park United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Lakeshore United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Waveland United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:00 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Henderson Point United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 De Lisle United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Pass Christian United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Cuevas United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 White Harbor United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Long Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 19:45 Agua El Salvador  0.1
23 Jun 2021 11:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 08:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
22 Jun 2021 08:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 03:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 00:45 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
21 Jun 2021 00:45 Laja Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:30 White Kitchen United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 20:30 Riolets United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Shell Beach United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Alluvial City United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Yscloskey United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Hopedale United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Saint Malo United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Grand Ecaille United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Happy Jack United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 18:15 Potash United States  0.1
22 Jun 2021 21:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Greens Ditch United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Fort Pike United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Lake Catherine United States  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 21:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
20 Jun 2021 12:00 Chef Menteur United States  0.1