Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARTY-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARTY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Aug 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 131 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.3 m 268 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico2,854 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Aug 2021 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 2 23 Aug 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Aug 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Aug 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Aug 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Aug 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Aug 2021 06:00 233 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Aug 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Aug 2021 18:00 111 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Aug 2021 00:00 24 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Aug 2021 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Aug 2021 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Aug 2021 18:00 131 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Novillero, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Aug 2021 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Aug 2021 06:15 Novillero Mexico  0.3
25 Aug 2021 06:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
25 Aug 2021 06:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
25 Aug 2021 06:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2021 11:45 Datilito Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2021 11:45 La Paz Mexico  0.3
24 Aug 2021 21:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 21:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 21:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 18:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 18:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 22:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 22:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 00:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 09:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 09:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 09:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
25 Aug 2021 05:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 18:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 18:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 18:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 20:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 23:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 23:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 00:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 17:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 22:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 21:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 21:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
25 Aug 2021 06:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 22:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 22:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 21:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 18:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
25 Aug 2021 05:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 03:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 09:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 14:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 16:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 09:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 08:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 21:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 20:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 02:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 08:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 08:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 10:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:30 Cunano Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:15 Barron Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 00:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:00 Apisa Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 23:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 22:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 22:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 22:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 23:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 09:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
25 Aug 2021 06:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 09:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 03:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 03:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 03:45 Ipala Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 21:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 01:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 09:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 09:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 09:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 18:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 21:30 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 08:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 08:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 08:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 08:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 21:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1