Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARTY-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARTY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Aug 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.3 m 488 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.3 m 559 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Aug 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Aug 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Aug 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Aug 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Aug 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Aug 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Aug 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Aug 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Aug 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico18,740 
50-100 mmMexico1,795,818 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Aug 2021 06:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Aug 2021 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Aug 2021 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Aug 2021 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Aug 2021 06:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Aug 2021 12:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Aug 2021 00:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Aug 2021 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Aug 2021 12:00 488 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 27 Aug 2021 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico27,026 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Aug 2021 09:15 Datilito Mexico  0.3
27 Aug 2021 09:15 La Paz Mexico  0.3
27 Aug 2021 09:15 Rosario Mexico  0.3
26 Aug 2021 22:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2021 12:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2021 12:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2021 20:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
26 Aug 2021 22:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 21:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 21:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 21:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 20:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 20:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 19:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 19:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 19:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 22:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 22:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 21:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 20:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 15:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 15:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2021 08:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
27 Aug 2021 09:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 22:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2021 21:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 21:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 21:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
26 Aug 2021 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 20:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 08:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 08:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 21:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 12:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 21:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 21:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 11:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 12:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
25 Aug 2021 06:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
25 Aug 2021 06:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 11:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 12:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 11:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 11:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 00:30 La Playa Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 12:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 05:15 Maruata Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2021 18:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 21:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 05:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 05:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 05:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2021 11:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 00:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 00:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 00:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:00 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 21:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
25 Aug 2021 14:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 00:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 05:15 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 07:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
26 Aug 2021 11:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
27 Aug 2021 19:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
28 Aug 2021 06:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1