Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CODY-22
in Fiji

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CODY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries New Zealand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (12 Jan 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 147 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.7 m 899 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNew Zealand06 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Jan 2022 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 3 09 Jan 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 5 10 Jan 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 - 5 thousand
Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia
GREEN 7 11 Jan 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 8 11 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Jan 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Jan 2022 12:00 101 -
- - - - - New Zealand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Cook Islands, Fiji82,562
+
Solomon Islands18,998 
Cook Islands536 
Fiji63,028 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga118,609
+
Solomon Islands2,671 
Fiji82,491 
Vanuatu8,758 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
Tonga20,740 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Jan 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 2 08 Jan 2022 12:00 251 30 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 3 09 Jan 2022 00:00 211 350 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 237 360 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 5 10 Jan 2022 00:00 118 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 58 -
- - - - - Cook Islands, Fiji
Blue 7 11 Jan 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Jan 2022 12:00 123 Few people
- - - - Tokelau, Fiji
Blue 9 12 Jan 2022 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 10 12 Jan 2022 12:00 425 80 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC