Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CODY-22
in Fiji
14 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CODY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Samoa, Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga, New Caledonia, New Zealand
Exposed population 10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (15 Jan 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 101 km/h 0.7 m 899 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.7 m 899 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 5Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga, New Caledonia9,091
+
Tuvalu463 
Solomon Islands88 
Vanuatu552 
Fiji4,800 
Tonga57 
New Caledonia3,129 
CAT. 4Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia282
+
Vanuatu28 
Fiji132 
New Caledonia121 
CAT. 3Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia297
+
Solomon Islands64 
Vanuatu22 
Fiji100 
New Caledonia109 
CAT. 2Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia320
+
Solomon Islands05 
Vanuatu33 
Fiji58 
New Caledonia223 
CAT. 1Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia1,585
+
Solomon Islands175 
Vanuatu66 
Fiji1,318 
New Caledonia24 
Tropical StormSolomon Islands, Samoa, Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand23,210
+
Solomon Islands780 
Samoa5,056 
Vanuatu1,267 
Fiji16,063 
New Caledonia36 
New Zealand06 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Jan 2022 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 3 09 Jan 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 5 10 Jan 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 - 5 thousand
Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia
GREEN 7 11 Jan 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 8 11 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Jan 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Jan 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - New Zealand
GREEN 11 13 Jan 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 13 Jan 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 13 Jan 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 14 Jan 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmFiji26,835 
500-750 mmFiji249,173 
250-500 mmSolomon Islands, Cook Islands, Fiji575,615
+
Solomon Islands2,391 
Cook Islands85 
Fiji573,138 
100-250 mmTokelau, Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa, Tonga186,848
+
Tokelau812 
Solomon Islands20,092 
Cook Islands450 
Fiji43,409 
Vanuatu11,419 
Wallis and Futuna13,150 
Samoa7,095 
Tonga90,417 
50-100 mmKiribati, Tokelau, Tuvalu, American Samoa, Vanuatu, Tonga, New Caledonia, New Zealand468,496
+
Kiribati70,777 
Tokelau371 
Tuvalu21 
American Samoa55,537 
Vanuatu128,057 
Samoa186,132 
Tonga15,752 
New Caledonia11,842 
New Zealand02 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Jan 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 2 08 Jan 2022 12:00 251 30 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 3 09 Jan 2022 00:00 211 350 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 237 360 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 5 10 Jan 2022 00:00 118 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 58 -
- - - - - Cook Islands, Fiji
Blue 7 11 Jan 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Jan 2022 12:00 123 Few people
- - - - Tokelau, Fiji
Blue 9 12 Jan 2022 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 10 12 Jan 2022 12:00 147 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 11 13 Jan 2022 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 13 Jan 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 13 Jan 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 14 Jan 2022 00:00 355 40 thousand
- - - - Tokelau, Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, American Samoa, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mFiji, New Zealand11,765
+
Fiji7,406 
New Zealand4,358 
0.25 - 0.5 mFiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand55,748
+
Fiji14,138 
New Caledonia7,447 
New Zealand34,161 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC