Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CODY-22
in Fiji

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CODY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (11 Jan 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 0.4 m 123 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.7 m 899 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Jan 2022 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 3 09 Jan 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 5 10 Jan 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 - 5 thousand
Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia
GREEN 7 11 Jan 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 8 11 Jan 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTokelau, Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, Fiji149,062
+
Tokelau218 
Solomon Islands757 
Cook Islands85 
Fiji148,000 
50-100 mmTokelau, Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, American Samoa, Tonga370,503
+
Tokelau233 
Solomon Islands20,750 
Cook Islands450 
Fiji268,221 
Vanuatu961 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
Tonga75,938 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Jan 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 2 08 Jan 2022 12:00 251 30 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 3 09 Jan 2022 00:00 211 350 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 237 360 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 5 10 Jan 2022 00:00 118 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 58 -
- - - - - Cook Islands, Fiji
Blue 7 11 Jan 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Jan 2022 12:00 419 150 thousand
- - - - Tokelau, Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna, American Samoa, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC