Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 0.6 m 276 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.6 m 691 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 May 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 May 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 May 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia103,590 
250-500 mmMyanmar, India, Bangladesh2,949,641
+
India972,879 
Myanmar11,559 
Bangladesh1,965,202 
100-250 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Indonesia57,291,671
+
China713,290 
India17,833,787 
Myanmar1,478,419 
Bhutan4,928 
Bangladesh36,498,898 
Vietnam548,424 
Sri Lanka160,364 
Indonesia53,558 
50-100 mmChina, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Malaysia, Maldives146,089,651
+
China16,686,116 
India44,685,124 
Nepal6,737 
Myanmar7,364,963 
Bhutan81,487 
Bangladesh54,433,294 
Vietnam11,190,954 
Laos821,970 
Thailand2,227,253 
Cambodia5,592 
Sri Lanka7,717,118 
Indonesia826,592 
Malaysia29,975 
Maldives12,471 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 May 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 07 May 2022 00:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 May 2022 12:00 293 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 12:00 248 -
- - - - - China, Myanmar, Vietnam
Blue 6 09 May 2022 00:00 467 280 thousand
- - - - China, Bangladesh, Laos
Blue 7 09 May 2022 12:00 564 -
- - - - - Bhutan, Myanmar, China, Vietnam
Blue 8 10 May 2022 00:00 813 60.3 million
- - China, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Malaysia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 00:00 UTC