Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for TOKAGE-22 Off-shore from 22 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC to 25 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TOKAGE-22

Off-shore

24 Aug 2022 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TOKAGE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (24 Aug 16:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	158 km/h	0.7 m	172 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	194 km/h	1.3 m	370 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	22 Aug 2022 06:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Aug 2022 12:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Aug 2022 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Aug 2022 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Aug 2022 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Aug 2022 12:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Aug 2022 18:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	24 Aug 2022 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Aug 2022 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Aug 2022 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

370 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	22 Aug 2022 06:00	159	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Aug 2022 12:00	354	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Aug 2022 18:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Aug 2022 00:00	232	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Aug 2022 06:00	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Aug 2022 12:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Aug 2022 18:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	24 Aug 2022 00:00	196	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Aug 2022 06:00	217	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Aug 2022 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Sakhalinskaya, Ten'gi, Russia. This height is estimated for 22/08/2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Ten'gi	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Oremif	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Krasovskoye	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Mochenga	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 07:00	Khabarovskiy, Barki	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Alekseyevka	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Chardbakh	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 10:00	Sakhalinskaya, Pomyt	Russia	0.4
	22/08/2022 07:00	Khabarovskiy, Chkalov	Russia	0.3
	22/08/2022 07:00	Khabarovskiy, Avri	Russia	0.3
	22/08/2022 08:00	Khabarovskiy, Avry	Russia	0.3
	22/08/2022 08:00	Khabarovskiy, Zarya	Russia	0.3
	22/08/2022 10:00	Kamchatskaya, Ust-Kotelnoye	Russia	0.3
	22/08/2022 11:00	Kamchatskaya, Kalakhtyrka	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Ostrovnaya	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Ostrovnoye	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 07:00	Kamchatskaya, Kronoki	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 08:00	Sakhalinskaya, Lakh	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 08:00	Kamchatskaya, Vilyuy	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 08:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kaygan	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 08:00	Sakhalinskaya, Tropto	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 08:00	Sakhalinskaya, Russa	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Chayvo	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Tygmych	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Dagi	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kaygan	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Nabil'	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Mivka	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Ozernovskiy	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Zaporozhye	Russia	0.2
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Moskolvo	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 10:00	Ibaraki, Honshu Omi	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 10:00	Ibaraki, Honshu Hamatsuga	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 10:00	Ibaraki, Honshu Aotsuka	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 10:00	Ibaraki, Honshu Koya	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kiri	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kongi	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Devyatka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Alaid	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Pil'ngvo	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Trambaus	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Chamgu	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Nampi	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Uandi	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Khoe	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Grotava	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Baikovo	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Artyushino	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Tangi	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Severo Kurilsk	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Chashechka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Severnaya Shirokaya Pad'	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Lopatka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Kamchatskaya, Semenovka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Severnyy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Babushkino	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Zimniy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, De-Kastri	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kamenistyy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Asahigawa	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Kruglov	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Mangiday	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Mangal	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Pribrezhnyy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Mgachi	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Galkino	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Antsyferova	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Talkino	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Matsu-kawa Fishery	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Shelikhovo	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Okeanskoye	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kakumabetsu	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Arkovo-Bereg	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Zhonk'yer	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Podgornoye	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Aleksandrovsk Sakhalinskiy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Karsakovka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Sholash	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Due	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Makarevka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kitova	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kitovyy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kamenka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Chernaya Rechka	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Oktyabrskiy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Pogranichnoye	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Ust-Agnevo	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Sizemin	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 12:00	Ibaraki, Honshu Kamigama	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Mayorovo	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Poselok Tonnel'	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Vasilyevo	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 11:00	Chiba, Honshu Tokawacho	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 11:00	Chiba, Honshu Inuwaka	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Nanai	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Mosiya	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Khabarovskiy, Syurkum	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Shirokaya Pad	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Peskoyskiy	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Kitousi	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Nerpichye	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Pilve	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 14:00	Ibaraki, Honshu Kyochikama	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 09:00	Chiba, Honshu Katakai	Japan	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Vozvrashcheniye	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Yamagoe	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Belkino	Russia	0.1
	22/08/2022 06:00	Sakhalinskaya, Konantanko	Russia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.