Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TOKAGE-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TOKAGE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (26 Aug 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 151 km/h 1.0 m 94 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 1.3 m 370 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Aug 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Aug 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Aug 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Aug 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Aug 2022 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Aug 2022 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Aug 2022 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Aug 2022 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Aug 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 24 Aug 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Aug 2022 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

370 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Aug 2022 06:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Aug 2022 12:00 354 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Aug 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Aug 2022 00:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Aug 2022 06:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Aug 2022 18:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Aug 2022 00:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Aug 2022 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Aug 2022 12:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Aug 2022 18:00 114 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Sakhalinskaya, Ten'gi, Russia. This height is estimated for 22/08/2022 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Ten'gi Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Pomyt Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 08:00 Khabarovskiy, Oremif Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 06:00 Khabarovskiy, Alekseyevka Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 08:00 Khabarovskiy, Chardbakh Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 06:00 Khabarovskiy, Barki Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 07:00 Khabarovskiy, Chkalov Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 06:00 Khabarovskiy, Mochenga Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 06:00 Khabarovskiy, Krasovskoye Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 06:00 Khabarovskiy, Avri Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 06:00 Khabarovskiy, Zarya Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Khabarovskiy, Avry Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 07:00 Kamchatskaya, Kronoki Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 07:00 Kamchatskaya, Kalakhtyrka Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Kamchatskaya, Ostrovnaya Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Kamchatskaya, Ostrovnoye Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Kamchatskaya, Ust-Kotelnoye Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 07:00 Kamchatskaya, Vilyuy Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Lakh Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kaygan Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Tropto Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Chayvo Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Russa Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Mivka Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Dagi Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kaygan Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Nabil' Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Tygmych Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kiri Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Moskolvo Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Omi Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Hamatsuga Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Aotsuka Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Koya Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kongi Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Khabarovskiy, De-Kastri Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Khabarovskiy, Kruglov Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Trambaus Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Khabarovskiy, Mangal Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Pil'ngvo Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Uandi Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Chamgu Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Nampi Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Khoe Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Tangi Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Severnaya Shirokaya Pad' Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Zimniy Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Mangiday Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 06:00 Kamchatskaya, Ozernovskiy Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 06:00 Kamchatskaya, Zaporozhye Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Khabarovskiy, Sizemin Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Mgachi Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Arkovo-Bereg Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Zhonk'yer Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Aleksandrovsk Sakhalinskiy Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Karsakovka Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Sholash Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Shirane Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Due Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Makarevka Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 06:00 Kamchatskaya, Grotava Russia  0.1
22/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kamenka Russia  0.1