Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for OCKHI-17 in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka from 29 Nov 2017 18:00 UTC to 05 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17

in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Iran, Pakistan, India, Maldives,
Exposed population	20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	127 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (04 Dec 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	127 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	77 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

77 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	19,553
Tropical Storm	Iran, Pakistan, India, Maldives	797,458	+
	Iran	224,074
	Pakistan	504,626
	India	40,059
	Maldives	28,698
	Other countries	01

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 06:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 12:00	127	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Iran, Pakistan, India, Maldives, Other countries

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 04 Dec 2017 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Wadgam	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Kambhat	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Kavi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Sarod	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:15	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Revadanda	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:00	Ghogha	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Murud	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:15	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:15	Asarsa	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:15	Harinagar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:15	Tankari	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:00	Guhagar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Alibag	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Boria	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:45	Dahej	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:45	Bankot	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:45	Kelshi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Mirya	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Purangad	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Purnagad	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:30	Vengurla	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:30	Terekhol	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 09:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:30	Devgarh	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:30	Pural	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:30	Achra	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Mumbai	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:45	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Panaji	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 08:45	Malvan	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 06:00	Mandve	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 06:00	Uran	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 06:00	Trombay	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 06:00	Taloje	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:15	Bhagva	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:15	Olpad	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Ankola	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Gokarn	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Kumta	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:15	Majali	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:15	Karwar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Advota	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Chaudi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Manki	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Malad	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:15	Mavalli	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:15	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Bainduru	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Dongri	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 01:45	Kundapura	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Udipi	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 08:45	Damka	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 08:30	Kotada	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Agashi	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Mulki	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 04:45	Mahim	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:00	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:00	Palghar	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 06:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 06:15	Mahuva	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 08:15	Udvada	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 07:45	Daman	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 07:30	Maroli	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:45	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 07:15	Umbargam	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:00	Boisar	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 06:15	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 07:00	Rohisa	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Devipatam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Tirupalakudi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Irumeni	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Pamban	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 07:45	Bordi	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:00	Tarapur	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 07:45	Gholvad	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:45	Kumbla	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 10:45	Malyan	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 14:15	Quilandi	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 14:15	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:45	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 01:00	Bekal	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.